Hotrodg

I always am amused by these "Team A beat Team B and Team C beat team A so team B can't win vs. Team A" posts. I'll point out the flaw in that thinking: Waller beat Lumberton and Lumberton beat Dayton...

People here are making a rather large assumption that 24 AA will be made up of the same teams next year.

This is not entirely accurate. Class 2A strength of schedule from Massey Ratings: 1. Daingerfield 2. Newton 3. Tatum

These "best" comparisons are always tough. You really can't be very scientific about it so it comes down to subjectivity. One thing can be said for sure: I don't know if they are the BEST ever but win this week and it is the most SUCCESSFUL Dayton team ever.

Barbay was on the radio last night and said it will be Friday in Conroe. Time TBD.

Congrats to the Buna Cougars on a great season.

I look for this to be a high scoring affair. Interesting matchup. A good passing offense vs. a poor passing defense and a good running offense vs. a D that has struggled vs. the run. I say Hornets win 35-31.

PURPLE RAIN!! Sorry..it is the playoffs. I am excited.

Most coaches will disagree. Playing tougher opponents does in fact make you better. While it will not likely make a good team bad, it will make a good team better. For example: Early in the season you typically are doing lots of fine tuning with blocking schemes, defensive reads etc. If you play only teams that you severely outclass on the field you wont know if something you are doing is not working until too late. Take a blocking scheme to illustrate. If you have a flawed scheme/rule or poor execution you might be getting away with it because an inferior opponent can't stop it even flawed or poorly executed. Because you are blowing holes open you think you have things going the right way. Later in the season (district and/or playoffs) you meet an opponent that you don't outclass. Now you have to make a change and implement it, without practice, while your season is at stake. Also if you want to go deep in the playoffs you have to be able to beat teams that are better than you. No, you don't HAVE to play good teams in non-district to be a good team but doing so will likely make you a better team. As a rule, I'd always pick the 8-2 or 7-3 team that played 4 non-district opponents that are playoff teams from a class above them over the 10-0 team that played 4 against mediocre teams from a class below them.

At least CC is not Newton.... ouch, ouch, ouch!!! ;D

I think you are playing this victim thing up a bit too much. You make these claims that Newton fans don't want to see EC suceed. Show me. Maybe there are a couple EC haters that happen to be Newton fans, but I assure you there is no institutional dislike for EC in the Newton fan base. Making goofball claims such as you have completely destroys your cred.

I'd be careful with that claim. I don't know what they look like this year, but historicaly Kountze and Buna have been state powers in basketball. Anyway. CC vs. EC. I don't know how to call this one. I flipped a coin and said "Heads CC, tails EC." It came up heads. So my pick, with the assistance of a 1971 Lincoln Penny, is Corrigan-Camden.

I don't think that is even close to what he said.

I have 11 points that says otherwise.

That is most likely correct, though there are other scenarios. In fact it is possible that neither Hemphill or Woodville make the playoffs. Here are all the possible playoff seedings for 23AA: D1 Woodville D2 C Newton D2 R CC D1 Newton D2 C Hemphill D2 R CC D1 Woodville D2 C Newton D2 R San Augustine D1 Newton D2 C CC D2 R San Augustine D1 Newton D2 C San Augustine D2 R Hemphill

First, I'd love to see Newton and Kirbyville in the same district again. Perhaps Kirbyville can make it a game for a change and we get a real rivalry.

Awesome. 23-AA is actually not as complex as it looks. The 8 possible week 10 outcomes can produce 5 differnt team combos, but only two are likely. In 3/8 scenarios the participants will be: D1 Woodville D2 Newton\Corrigan-Camden In 2/8 scenarios the participants are: D1 Newton D2 Corrigan-Camden\Hemphill The remaining combos (1/8 each) are: Unlikely (requires Newton loss) D1 Newton D2 Corrigan-Camden\San Augustine Highly Unlikely (requires Newton loss AND CC loss) D1 Woodville D2 Newton\San Augustine D1 Newton D2 San Augustine\Hemphill

Note: The above was created on the assumption that 23-AA uses the following tie-breaker rules: 2-way tie: Head-to-Head 3+-way tie: Point differential for in games with involved teams I am making an assumption here, but those do seem to be the most common tie-breakers used in UIL districts.

The following are the playoff scenarios for 23-AA. I will do 24-AA and potential matchups later today. Newton is in and will be district champions regardless of the outcome of any game in week 10. Corrigan-Camden is in with: Win v Shelbyville OR Newton win v San Augustine. Woodville is in with: Win v. Hemphill. Hemphill is in with: Win v. Woodville AND a Newton win v. San Augustine OR Win v. Woodville AND a Shelbyville win v. Corrigan-Camden San Augustine is in with: Win v. Newton AND Hemphill win v. Woodville OR Win v. Newton AND Shelbyville win v. Corrigan-Camden

Are you sure the tie-breaker is head-to-head?

Dave Campbells Texas Football gives all the enrollment figures from last alignment.

I think people might be surprised at the score in this game. Newton SHOULD win but consider: #1 Woodville always gets "up" for the Newton game and plays Newton tough #2 If the Newton fumbling, penalty commiting Newton team that has shown up many times this year shows up Woodville could well end up the district champs I hope Newton shows up and executes, but don't be surprised if this game ends with a margin closer than many expect.

LOL Maxpreps is plumb goofy. It also ranks Buna higher than EC for example.

Just ran through the scenarios and confirmed. Unless Newton drops a game or Shelbyville wins one the number 2 and 3 spots are decided by the CC/SA and Wood/Hemp games. For the purpose of this theorycrafting we'll say Newton will win out and Shelbyville will lose out. Consider the first game mentioned. CC vs SA this week. A CC win creates the following Team W L New 4 0 Wood 2 2 SA 2 2 CC 2 2 Hem 2 2 Shel 0 4 CC plays Shelbyville and SA plays Newton in week 10. That would almost certainly put CC in at 3-2 and SA out at 2-3. Woodville meets Hemphill in week 10 and in this scenario the winner makes the playoffs at 3-2, the loser stays home at 2-3. In our other scenario, a week 9 win by San Augustine over CC we get this: Team W L New 4 0 SA 3 1 Wood 2 2 Hemp 2 2 CC 1 3 Shel 0 4 In this scenario SA basically clinches. A week 10 loss to Newton would leave them at 3-2 and in a tie for second regardless of the outcome of any other games. CC is out because a win over Shelbyville gets them a 4th place finish at best. Woodville and Hemphill play in week 10 for the only remaining playoff berth. Now playoff matchups: If Woodville beats Hemphill: D1 Woodville v Buna D2 Newton v Hardin, EC v CC/SA winner If Hemphill beats Woodville it gets more complicated: D1 Newton v Buna in all scenarios. D2 depends on the CC/SA game. If CC beats SA it goes: EC v CC and Hardin v Hemphill If SA beats CC it would go: EC v Hemphill and Hardin v SA Not 100% sure on the D2 scenarios were Hemphill is in and Woodville is out. I assume tie-breaker is head-to-head. Either way you have two 3-2 tied for second in D2. Hemphill has head to head over CC but SA has head to head over Hemphill.

For Newton my personal prediction is Hardin. Could be Buna though.