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OlDawg

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Everything posted by OlDawg

  1. If true, there went the ‘moderates’. All that would be left are the radical Islamic zealots and the IRGC leadership.
  2. He can’t. He won’t. But, right now, he’s lost the support of those who didn’t want him to start in the first place, and he’s losing the support of those who realize the need, but want him to finish the job all the way to regime change because they know it’s the only way.
  3. I’ve posted my thoughts a couple posts previous. Bury—or take out—their shoreline tunnel/fortification systems. Without them, their control of the Strait via threats is negligible at worst, and nonexistent at best. Any launcher in country that shows its face, obliterate. Drones should be flying 24/7. Any boat on the water…sink it. Yes, you can do a lot more damage before taking out dual use facilities. Iran has a lot of open, unpatrolled territory. Use it. Make sure Starlink is being used to inform the people, or use some money to provide free service via AT&T, Verizon, or any and all to bypass Iran’s regulation of the internet. Get them info on how to access. Get information to the people of Iran. If you’re going to use money, use it to get people on your side—the original wish.
  4. I have no idea about any supposed $300 Million, or any of that. I don't think anyone knows yet. People are just spitballing. What I do know is the U.S. has more than enough munitions to take care of the Iran situation with no limitations. Some people are concerned because it would leave us short--if needed--to defend Taiwan in the 2 or 3 years or less timeframe. I can guarantee the U.S. is already looking at cheaper, new tech based on the Iran conflict that can be brought to bear in a shorter timeframe. The U.S. military industrial complex learns from every conflict. That--in a reverse good way--is why our tech always leads the way. The latest Defense Dept. budget request included $54 Billion for autonomous warfare programs. The U.S. will have AI in great use for military actions before anyone else is close. Somewhat scary. But, as long as humans are still making final decisions, it's the future of warfare. We need to lead. Not lag. Newsflash reiteration: We weren't going to wholeheartedly defend Taiwan anyway. It's too close in proximity to mainland China, and their assets. It would basically be undefendable if China wanted to go full bore invasion. Iran could have been pretty much over without a 6 week ceasefire. The next large scale conflict will be about energy and food resources. The Greenies have been acknowledged (even by the UN scientists) to have been full of horse manure. Many countries have been ruined, and economies have been crushed. Billions have been wasted while a few profited. Trump has done well in securing the Western Hemisphere. We have plenty of oil between Venezuela, Mexico, Canada, and the U.S. The Americas are energy rich. We are good on Nat gas. As far as agriculture, the Americas also offer a bounty that makes much of the world envious. Trump has also done well in attempting to onshore our needs in critical minerals and semiconductor fab shops. We are good on aluminum and steel. All-in-all, This Administration has us on a net positive for the next big conflict as long as the semiconductor and rare earth mineral investments get cranking fairly soon, and actually begin producing benefits. But, Iran is a rock around our proverbial necks. The prolonged conflict is hurting the everyday American, and no one should even attempt to deny. POTUS--and the public--need to understand, and be told the truth that some young men and women will lose their lives to secure all of our long-term safety. The fantastic folks who serve us all know what they are asked when they enlist. This is why they (the 1-2% that serve) are special. They all deserve our gratitude and support. They also deserve full backing, and the ability to perform their jobs while being led by competent leadership. I'm not as concerned about the competency of our military leadership. But, regardless of Administrations, I've been concerned about our political leadership's convictions and actual willingness to win for a long time. It's not a new problem. If you're sending our folks into harm's way, send them under true reasons, back them 110%, and then get out of the way except to supply them with everything they need. Give them clear mission objectives, and then act like you want to win. I am NOT a warmonger. As someone who has experienced combat, I'm actually almost opposite. But, preparation and having the 'bigger stick' is still the best way to avoid major conflicts. Once you're in one, stop half arsing it.
  5. You are correct if it's any deal that leaves the current regime in place. The amount of time until it comes back to bite us will be the only question. Sorry. I don't have TDS. I have experience with these folks. Hopefully, my posts have shown that I am somewhat competent on these type issues. I'm not even a 'Debbie Downer.' Again, it's just experience. And I could care less what the 'Trump don't play' crowd has to say. They've been wrong on this conflict from day one.
  6. I read Hegseth as being the type guy to want to finish the job with combat. My gut tells me Trump is getting this ceasefire agreement/delay crap advice from elsewhere. Miller's probably in here somewhere, and I trust him as far as I can throw him.
  7. Since BH is 6A now, they may not play Katy again. Not sure how your coach feels about playing possible PO opponents.
  8. There are always those who are gonna protest anything and everything. Some do it just to sew chaos. Others are just foolish and uninformed. Sometimes, they have a legitimate beef. Just depends. He can't worry about protests now. We're in it. He needs to have drones flying 24/7. Any missile launcher seen needs to be eliminated immediately. Any boat on the water needs to be sunk. I'd even think very seriously about having B-52's drop loads of bunker busters along the Iranian coastline bunkers. If you can't eliminate the tunnel systems...bury them. Figure out their crypto system & shut it down! He needs to get the negotiating leverage back that's been lost. He's on a clock--even though he says he's not. He's actually being too patient and defensive.
  9. Those who have been in armed conflict are usually the last ones to want to start one. But, when the decision is made, and the ‘trigger is pulled’, anything less than all out effort gets more of ‘our people’ dead. Avoid civilian casualties where possible. If not possible, and legitimate targets are keyed, it is a sad byproduct of conflict. If you don’t have the stomach for it, don’t start the conflict. I can guarantee the IRGC wouldn’t blink twice if they had the capability to set off a dirty bomb in a civilian area in the U.S. THAT’s who we’re dealing with. The version of beliefs they hold actually desires the end of Israel and the Big Satan. Not just the military. The entire civilian population. They don’t care. They believe it will usher in the return of their prophet. Others are more secular, and just know if they lose power, they’ll be killed. I’m not joking when I say these folks are bat sh t crazy. If you don’t eliminate them, they’ll pull another cockroach in 2-3 years. Better to deal with it now than take a chance on the next Administration being Gavin & AOC, or someone similar.
  10. Whoever the political advisor was he listened to that said a ceasefire was a good idea should be immediately fired. When he made the decision to begin the conflict, he should have been all-in, and only listened to his military leaders from then on out.
  11. If you want to see what's really happening with the kinetic actions, among other news, the site I posted earlier has a lot of info for details. It shows (graphically as well with zoomable detail maps) each specific instance of strike, attempted strike, etc. all from verified intel, satellite, Centcom, etc. Kind of nerdy. But, also very revealing. [Hidden Content] [Hidden Content]strike/37
  12. Thanks BD. I don't watch. I only watch Fox Business from 8-11 am with Varney while I'm doing other stuff. Markets are closed today, so we're watching Tora! Tora! Tora! right now on 20.2 Houston local. Haven't seen it in a while. They have their Memorial Day Marathon on today.
  13. I've never read this source before today. Supposedly, it's rated center-left but highly factual. It's independent, and based out of Washington D.C. I don't follow Trump's social media, so I can't verify if true. Maybe, someone else can. If true, it's an interesting development. Trump demands widespread sign-up to Abraham Accords as part of Iran peace deal [Hidden Content]
  14. Just noticing how buff this guy's gotten since he first starting appearing on TV. Some of the fights to get documents released must have been tough! lol
  15. We could probably go back to the founding of our country if we wanted. I've read where there were some pretty heated fights even back then. Still, we've always made it through. I suspect we will again. I really think it's just the margins right now anyway. May be wrong. But, I think most are somewhere in the middle. Trump has definitely done some stuff I don't agree with at all. But, he's also done some stuff where I do agree with him. To me, that's typical. As long as he keeps the Socialists at bay, I can look past some of the other. I sure wish he'd quit buying stakes in private businesses. To me, that's a slippery slope towards socialism and asking for trouble. Not a fan of the pattern.
  16. Apologies!
  17. …or Socialists.
  18. You should have figured that out by his first post. This profile joined in 2010. Never posted (16 years) until the two previous incarnations vanished, and writing styles are like brush strokes. Just took him a couple days after TMB disappeared to get AAW to reset his password that he forgot. That’s why I asked him after about his second post how many profiles did he create.
  19. Last known nuclear stockpiles in Iran per IAEA as of 2/27/2026: [Hidden Content]
  20. If a 60 day negotiation period is agreed upon, the Iranians will make sure to stretch negotiations right up until the 60th day. They are aware of things that many gullible Americans aren't. At the end of a 60 day negotiation period, U.S. crews, vessels, and aircraft will have been deployed on high alert status for almost 6 months. Efficiency levels for crews, and vessels begin to drop precipitously at that timeframe. That's why sea duty tours are typically no longer than 6 months for vessels other than submarines. Gremlins begin to appear in electronics and mechanical equipment. (Anyone who has owned a boat, and kept it docked in saltwater is aware.) Restocking needs to occur, and crews need regen time. If not, mistakes, accidents, and errors occur at a much greater instance even with the best crews. Basically, after almost 6 months at sea, it's NOT the time one would want to begin a major kinetic conflict. If the U.S. breaks off negotiations before the 60 day period is up, the U.S. will be the party seen as negotiating in bad faith. If the 60 day negotiations are allowed, the Iranians have ample time to prepare. After 60 days, the U.S. crews will not be at their optimum operating efficiencies. After 60 days, America--nor the rest of the world--will want to restart the conflict. I certainly hope Trump makes a fantastic deal with people who have never previously kept a deal because the U.S. will be the one without much leverage at the end of 60 days. The Iranian regime will still be financially viable via their crypto dealings that we are just now finding out about, and we have little means to police the activity. I doubt you'll hear any talking heads discussing these type issues. But, this isn't a video game. Things do break, need retrofits, and crews need rest.
  21. Americans aren’t the only people in the world with social media capabilities.
  22. I’ll roll back to this because it used to be required reading. Again, I don’t know if it is now or not. It doesn’t help much if our military still reads it, but our political leaders do not. Sun Tzu, The Art of War
  23. Propaganda always has two sides.
  24. Iran may be using crypto and our own debt to bypass sanctions to fund their war efforts. I’ve seen this before. But, it’s apparently becoming more concrete. [Hidden Content]
  25. Out of curiosity, how many profiles did you create?
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