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OlDawg

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Everything posted by OlDawg

  1. My last post in this thread has some breakdowns. Pretty sure my numbers are right. But, double-check.
  2. REWORK WITH ADDED POSSIBLE SCENARIO: Looking at one possible scenario: GCM 4-4 with a win over GB BU 4-4 with a loss to PAM, and a win over RSS BWB 4-4 with a loss to Lufkin, and a win over GB Lufkin 4-4 with a win over BWB, and a loss to LP This scenario would go to the district's 18 point max and staying points tiebreak rule as verified by Matt Stepp. IF this were to happen, the current point standings (point spreads between the 4 teams involved against each other) as I calculate them are: GCM +11 BWB +7 (Owns tiebreak win over BU) BU +7 Lufkin -25 Another possible scenario: GCM 4-4 with a win over GB BWB 4-4 with a loss to Lufkin, and a win over GB Lufkin 4-4 with a win over BWB, and a loss to LP RSS 4-4 with a win over BU This scenario would also go to the district's 18 point max and staying points tiebreak rule as verified by Matt Stepp. IF this were to happen, the current point standings (point spreads between the 4 teams involved against each other) as I calculate them are: Lufkin +12 to +29 possible BWB +10 to -7 possible GCM +7 RSS -29 Currently--according to Massey--GCM is favored over GB, BU is a 10 point favorite over RSS that will change if they lose to PAM to probably a one score game, BWB is favored by 8 over Lufkin, and favored over GB. So, a 4-way tie isnโ€™t really way out there with 2 possible one score games between PO contenders still left to play. The most likely finish--according to current Massey projections--is a tie for 4th between GCM & BU with BU advancing with a head-to-head win over GCM 24-21 in Week 7. No point system needed. LP 8-0 PAM 7-1 BWB 5-3 BU 4-4 GCM 4-4 Lufkin 3-5 RSS 3-5 NC 2-6 GB 0-8 NOTE: I didnโ€™t do any other scenarios because of very large projected point spreads.
  3. Looking at one possible scenario: GCM 4-4 with a win over GB BU 4-4 with a loss to PAM, and a win over RSS BWB 4-4 with a loss to Lufkin, and a win over GB Lufkin 4-4 with a win over BWB, and a loss to LP This scenario would go to the district's 18 point max and staying points tiebreak rule as verified by Matt Stepp. IF this were to happen, the current point standings (point spreads between the 4 teams involved against each other) as I calculate them are: GCM +11 BWB +7 (Owns tiebreak win over BU) BU +7 Lufkin -25 GCM's best PO scenario is to be involved in this particular 4-way tiebreak. They would get the 3 seed. Otherwise, they would need BU to lose out where a 3-way tie between them (+7), BWB (+10 to -7 possible) and RSS (-29) would favor them and BWB. Currently--according to Massey--GCM is favored over GB, BU is a 10 point favorite over RSS that will change if they lose to PAM to probably a one score game, BWB is favored by 8 over Lufkin, and favored over GB. So, a 4-way tie isnโ€™t really way out there with 2 possible one score games between PO contenders still left to play. According to current projections, it looks like the tie may be for 4th between GCM & BU with BU advancing with a head-to-head win over GCM 24-21 in Week 7. No point system needed. LP 8-0 PAM 7-1 BWB 5-3 BU 4-4 GCM 4-4 Lufkin 3-5 RSS 3-5 NC 2-6 GB 0-8 Whew! I ainโ€™t doing this again if something really weird happens! ๐Ÿ˜‚
  4. [Hidden Content] (Canโ€™t figure out how to make ChatGPT insert the straight image once created. Tried to create one with Marvin chasing Wil E. But, it said it violated copyright laws. Maybe, itโ€™s telling me to vote for BU?)๐Ÿ’๐Ÿผ
  5. Another view of โ€˜The Catchโ€™. He has 22 offers as a Jr. I suspect he may receive a couple more. [Hidden Content]
  6. PAM/BU and BU/RSS will tell the tale.
  7. This catch has to be seen to be believed. This is NFL stuff! [Hidden Content]
  8. Good game TimberWOLVES! I really like Bronson, and I like what your coach is doing over there. Yโ€™all are gonna have a heck of a game with PAM next week.
  9. !score 27-56 Q4 BU with a good drive on LP backups 1:13 4th
  10. !score 21-56 Q3 Dieudonne with the short TD LP now 8 for 8 2:30 3rd
  11. TD Simon after Dieudonne drove down the field. !score 21-48 Q3 Dawgs 7 for 7 drives for TDโ€™s 8:56
  12. Long TD catch & run for TD! !score 21-42 Q3 2 pt XP good 10:59
  13. New stream is up on LPsportsNET. May have to get out & come back in to see the 2nd stream.
  14. Heโ€™s a 4 star already. Maybe just got his 5th. Joking. But, that one will be on highlights. Iโ€™m gonna have to post it. Donโ€™t take offense.
  15. BU playing well with the short passing attack. LP has missed some tackles they need to clean up. LP is 6 for 6 drives for TDโ€™s. BU gets the ball to start the 2nd half.
  16. Our #2 receiver is out tonight. Does that count?
  17. TD Smith! !score 13-42 Q2 31 seconds
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