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Everything posted by OlDawg
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District 9-5A D1 Thread 2026/2027
OlDawg replied to Mr. Buddy Garrity's topic in High School Football
My last post in this thread has some breakdowns. Pretty sure my numbers are right. But, double-check. -
District 9-5A D1 Thread 2026/2027
OlDawg replied to Mr. Buddy Garrity's topic in High School Football
REWORK WITH ADDED POSSIBLE SCENARIO: Looking at one possible scenario: GCM 4-4 with a win over GB BU 4-4 with a loss to PAM, and a win over RSS BWB 4-4 with a loss to Lufkin, and a win over GB Lufkin 4-4 with a win over BWB, and a loss to LP This scenario would go to the district's 18 point max and staying points tiebreak rule as verified by Matt Stepp. IF this were to happen, the current point standings (point spreads between the 4 teams involved against each other) as I calculate them are: GCM +11 BWB +7 (Owns tiebreak win over BU) BU +7 Lufkin -25 Another possible scenario: GCM 4-4 with a win over GB BWB 4-4 with a loss to Lufkin, and a win over GB Lufkin 4-4 with a win over BWB, and a loss to LP RSS 4-4 with a win over BU This scenario would also go to the district's 18 point max and staying points tiebreak rule as verified by Matt Stepp. IF this were to happen, the current point standings (point spreads between the 4 teams involved against each other) as I calculate them are: Lufkin +12 to +29 possible BWB +10 to -7 possible GCM +7 RSS -29 Currently--according to Massey--GCM is favored over GB, BU is a 10 point favorite over RSS that will change if they lose to PAM to probably a one score game, BWB is favored by 8 over Lufkin, and favored over GB. So, a 4-way tie isnโt really way out there with 2 possible one score games between PO contenders still left to play. The most likely finish--according to current Massey projections--is a tie for 4th between GCM & BU with BU advancing with a head-to-head win over GCM 24-21 in Week 7. No point system needed. LP 8-0 PAM 7-1 BWB 5-3 BU 4-4 GCM 4-4 Lufkin 3-5 RSS 3-5 NC 2-6 GB 0-8 NOTE: I didnโt do any other scenarios because of very large projected point spreads. -
District 9-5A D1 Thread 2026/2027
OlDawg replied to Mr. Buddy Garrity's topic in High School Football
Looking at one possible scenario: GCM 4-4 with a win over GB BU 4-4 with a loss to PAM, and a win over RSS BWB 4-4 with a loss to Lufkin, and a win over GB Lufkin 4-4 with a win over BWB, and a loss to LP This scenario would go to the district's 18 point max and staying points tiebreak rule as verified by Matt Stepp. IF this were to happen, the current point standings (point spreads between the 4 teams involved against each other) as I calculate them are: GCM +11 BWB +7 (Owns tiebreak win over BU) BU +7 Lufkin -25 GCM's best PO scenario is to be involved in this particular 4-way tiebreak. They would get the 3 seed. Otherwise, they would need BU to lose out where a 3-way tie between them (+7), BWB (+10 to -7 possible) and RSS (-29) would favor them and BWB. Currently--according to Massey--GCM is favored over GB, BU is a 10 point favorite over RSS that will change if they lose to PAM to probably a one score game, BWB is favored by 8 over Lufkin, and favored over GB. So, a 4-way tie isnโt really way out there with 2 possible one score games between PO contenders still left to play. According to current projections, it looks like the tie may be for 4th between GCM & BU with BU advancing with a head-to-head win over GCM 24-21 in Week 7. No point system needed. LP 8-0 PAM 7-1 BWB 5-3 BU 4-4 GCM 4-4 Lufkin 3-5 RSS 3-5 NC 2-6 GB 0-8 Whew! I ainโt doing this again if something really weird happens! ๐ -
March 8,2026 โ WTI Crude Hits $110. THANKS TRUMP
OlDawg replied to HangPDFs's topic in Political Forum
[Hidden Content] -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
Another view of โThe Catchโ. He has 22 offers as a Jr. I suspect he may receive a couple more. [Hidden Content] -
District 9-5A D1 Thread 2026/2027
OlDawg replied to Mr. Buddy Garrity's topic in High School Football
PAM/BU and BU/RSS will tell the tale. -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
This catch has to be seen to be believed. This is NFL stuff! [Hidden Content] -
FINAL โ Lufkin 21 at Goose Creek Memorial 28 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
Me either -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
Good game TimberWOLVES! I really like Bronson, and I like what your coach is doing over there. Yโall are gonna have a heck of a game with PAM next week. -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
!score 27-56 FINAL -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
!score 27-56 Q4 BU with a good drive on LP backups 1:13 4th -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
LP subbing 1:00 3rd -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
!score 21-56 Q3 Dieudonne with the short TD LP now 8 for 8 2:30 3rd -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
My badโฆ !score 21-49 Q3 -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
TD Simon after Dieudonne drove down the field. !score 21-48 Q3 Dawgs 7 for 7 drives for TDโs 8:56 -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
Long TD catch & run for TD! !score 21-42 Q3 2 pt XP good 10:59 -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
New stream is up on LPsportsNET. May have to get out & come back in to see the 2nd stream. -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
Heโs a 4 star already. Maybe just got his 5th. Joking. But, that one will be on highlights. Iโm gonna have to post it. Donโt take offense. -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
BU playing well with the short passing attack. LP has missed some tackles they need to clean up. LP is 6 for 6 drives for TDโs. BU gets the ball to start the 2nd half. -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
!score 13-42 HALF -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
Our #2 receiver is out tonight. Does that count? -
FINAL โ Beaumont United 27 at La Porte 56 โ Discussion
OlDawg replied to SETXsports's topic in High School Football
TD Smith! !score 13-42 Q2 31 seconds