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Everything posted by OlDawg
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SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
You are obviously very unaware of how construction estimating works. The prices are based on local areas as I've mentioned. The only way for the taxes to be the same--other than sheer chance--is if the exact same house was built in the exact same area, using the exact same materials, the exact same labor, and the exact same logistical costs. The scenario I described does occur. Drive up to Lower Greenville area in DFW. All you see now is McMansions filled with yuppies. Every so often, you'll see a nice, older home. But, not too often at all. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
I'm not sure you understand my insurance value appraisal stance. In my scenario, the land is moot except for incidental value related to costs of rebuilding (ie. ease of access for reconstruction, utilities, etc.). The property value of the home would be based on rebuild costs that are already used for labor and material costs in any design/engineering/construction area. The estimated costs are area and regional specific. These costs typically include locational differences which would account for your developed vs not question. (You could also set a limit on acreage included with the improvement value on the property, and have anything greater be taxed at unimproved acreage levels in addition. This would address your larger lot concerns.) The numbers used are what engineering/construction firms use when estimating project costs, and are basically industry standard numbers with slight deviations for special circumstances. They are also close to the numbers insurance companies use now for rebuild estimates. AI could make this very simple and efficient. So, relatively little extra expense for the insurance company to set a value, and keep it up-to-date yearly. Instead of a CAD, improved property tax appraisals would be based on the cost of materials and labor to rebuild your structure/home to a replacement scenario at the market conditions based on the previous year's estimate. Unimproved property taxes would still be taxed as they are currently. The way it is now is backwards. My home is almost 40 years old. It's nice, but not fancy. My appraisal is way more than what I can sell it. I've also had relatives in Dallas that were literally taxed and fee'd out of their homes (need a new roof, new paint job, any number of things) because the City wanted the older homes & residents with tax exemptions out. Then, they had developers buy, demolish, and rebuild new to resell where the City could increase it's tax base. As a bonus to this change, you could downsize another government department. Always a plus. š -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
I may think abortion on demand is wrong. But, it's not my place to interject in someone else's very personal matter. If the government wasn't so deeply involved in healthcare, your moral dilemma wouldn't be an issue. The answer isn't to fight the moral question. The answer is to minimize/eliminate government involvement in healthcare. Property taxes in Texas is an interesting question. I am more of a flat tax person vs. a consumption tax person. To me, a consumption tax stymies growth more than a flat tax. That being said, I'd prefer a flat tax (Federal) with property taxes. But, I would maintain a maximum level of property tax increase/year--with no loopholes--and have the tax rate of property be set by the insurable value after yearly appraisals. Not the other way around. The value of one's property should only be worth what it can be insured for in case of total loss. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
The government shouldn't be involved in the marriage business. The government shouldn't be involved in the abortion or not business. If what someone does in their own home--or daily activities--does no harm to others, it's none of my business. The government wouldn't be involved if we hadn't invited them in. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
I'm a fiscally conservative libertarian. There's actually a pretty big difference in that and typical conservatism. Typical conservatives still believe in some market manipulation to help achieve their social goals. Liberals and Progressives are at the total opposite end of the spectrum from me from a fiscal and personal liberty stance. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
I don't like government interference in private lending markets. Protecting against predatory lending practices? Sure. Setting rates? No. This Administration has already interfered way too much in the free enterprise markets in my book. This is not what I expected from a supposedly conservative, free market Administration. We've got free trade manipulation, government purchasing majority stakes in private corporations and basically nationalizing them, and desires to limit the credit lender's ability to minimize risk in their own practices. While I don't think limiting some people's access to 'easy credit' is a bad thing, it's not government's job. The only thing government manipulation has ever done is interfere with the free market, and they have a horrible track record of picking winners and losers. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
Good summary article on the current state of personal finances. The actual numbers may surprise many. (Hint: Personal debt to income is at its lowest level since the 90ās.) [Hidden Content] Well done to those who are finally becoming more financially responsible. This is the real key to personal freedom. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
Cuomo has no clue yet. Heās judging based on the wrong criteria & way too soon. The goal of tariffs was to bring manufacturing back to the U.S. That wonāt happen overnight. While I may not be a fan, itās too soon to know if theyāre successful at the core goal yet. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
I believe tariffs have only brought in about 1% of the national debt. Thatās before some will probably be refunded. It would have been much better to cut spending from a fiscal standpoint. Of course, we know thatāll never happen. Neither Party will cut. I am still hopeful some needed items can be re-onshored. Thatāto meāwas the actual goal. Itās still up in the air, and possibly wonāt be known for a few years. Itās critical to bring back some pharma & semiconductors. (Even though I dislike the government buying stakes in private firms like they have done under this administration.) I am against the nationalization of industries from a competition aspect, and a socialistic approach in private enterprise. This shouldnāt be a government function other than to provide incentivesānot ownership. GM still owes us around $14 billion. Iām not sure who is really running the fiscal show from the Administration. But, Iāve always questioned some of the moves as a private enterprise/free trader. Yes, there have been some successes. Thereās also been a lot of turmoil. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
I wouldnāt disagree with your take. Iād debate you on your second sentence is all. I think the lockdowns did affect not only the manufacturing of goods, but also the logistics of supply. We both agree the $1.9 Trillion wasnāt needed & actually hurt. It actually accomplished nothing of note. When the Feds kept raising rates, and the extra money people received ran out, they had to pull back some. That helped cool inflation as well. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
No. You donāt appear to see. The 9% was artificially inflated. The Feds raising the interest rates lowered the inflation rate more than anything the Biden Administration did. Somewhat similar to Trump. This Administration has hurt inflation coming down more due to tariff policy. The Feds maintaining a higher interest rate than needed are also affecting the slower pace of disinflation. The Fed is slowing down the drop on purpose. They want to ease into 2%. Not crash. It doesnāt take a rocket scientist to know that if the Fed target is 2%, that 1/2% is a major change one way or other when not artificially inflated. If core inflation were to hit 3%, the Fed would immediately raise 50 basis points. Thatās how big a 1/2% change is when the rate is close to target. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
Thatās actually what he sounded like to me. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
Not a fan. As I said, this needs to stop. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
We could quibble all day and never come to a definite conclusion. Adding $1.9 Trillion free cash flow caused the Fed to have to raise interest rates significantly. This helped fuel inflation. Yes, the other factors you mention played a role as well. Numbers I've seen credit the IRA with raising inflation by 30-40%, with the other factors contributing the rest. So, the so-called Inflation Reduction Act actually increased inflation by around 3-3.5% in the short term. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
Half a point is historically a significant drop. It just doesn't seem like much compared to the high of 9%. I made nothing up. You need to study history more. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
Gonna be a good weekend to smoke a brisket for sure. I usually buy 2 when they go on sale around Memorial Day. Smoke one & freeze the other for later. We like smoking a brisket for Christmas if our kids/grandkids are coming down. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
Can of no salt added Starkist in water, tbsp. of mayo, tbsp. of dill relish on a low carb tortilla. Add an apple I split with my better 1/2. 40 grams of protein, 20 grams of fiber, only 200 mg of sodium, and a bunch of vitamins. Itās a fancy lunch called a tuna wrap. Cost: About $2.75 š -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
Man! Where the heck are yāall buying groceries? KROGER: Choice Boneless Beef Brisket Untrimmed Whole in Bag (Limit 1 at Sale Price) $3.99/lb. I never pay full price even before inflation. Pork Butt was $.99/lb. last week. Iām smoking it tomorrow, vacuum packing what we donāt eat for stuffed spuds, brisket enchiladas, & barbacoa tacos. We gat about 4 different meals for about $12.00 total for the main course. š -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
Itās not a punishment to say you āmight be inclined to keep someone outā that didnāt want to invest there in the first place. Exxon has been around a lot longer than Trump. Theyāll be here long after heās gone. -
Welp...That didn't take long. NYC residents say Mamdani reneging on affordable housing promise with proposed property tax hike [Hidden Content]
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SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
No he didnāt. He offered incentives for investingānot punishment. Now, youāre just making stuff up to fit a narrative. Also, remember what I said about good policy vs. bad policy. The previous Administrationās policies stunk. It showed up immediately with over 9% inflation. Unreal. The current Administration has lowered that inflation number down significantly to a manageable rate. Question is, with the new policy fluctuations again, will they begin creeping up, or will they maintain a 2.4-2.6? The new Fed Chair will have a bearing since the benchmark interest rate should be around 3.5 right now at the high end. Either way, we need stability for investments. Promises are good. Actual tangible infrastructure investments are better. The deregulation will play a big part moving forward. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
Need to remember: Good policy takes a while to show benefits. Bad policy shows up almost immediately. Thatās why Iāve given time on the tariff situation. But, itās to the point where businesses need more final clarity. Most of the clients I worked for had at least a 5 year plan for engineering projects. This is too much turmoil for them to make major investment decisions. It affects not only engineers, construction, equipment suppliers & other vendors, but also the support businesses like restaurants, safety equipment suppliers, even lodging, etc. Pretty sizable chunk of the economy. Iād expect a builder who also wants to expand our infrastructure, and wants to ādrill baby drillā, would know this and enact policy accordingly. People sure arenāt going to invest in Venezuela when they donāt even know whatās going on here. -
SCOTUS Rules Against Trump Administration IEEPA Tariffs
OlDawg replied to OlDawg's topic in Political Forum
My approach is based on policy. Nothing more. Nothing less. As @UT alum has noted, I am a fiscally conservative libertarianā¦the most dispassionate of the political affiliations.