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Everything posted by Rez
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It’s a matter of degree. If Team A beats Team C by 60, and Team B beats Team C by 14, we’ve learned that both Team A and Team B are better than Team C. But I don’t think it tells us much about how Team A will do against Team B. Last year is a good example - PNG beat Nederland by 28. Lake Creek beat Nederland by about 50. If we went only by the scores we’d be tempted to say LC had a better offense and defense than PNG. PNG beat LC by 3. If you won by at least more than two scores, I don’t care about how much more you scored after. A stat I think IS transferable to the next game is something like 3rd and 4th down conversions, 3rd and 4th down stops, time of possession, and number of possessions. But I would want those to be counted over the whole season, not just against a common opponent. The things that lead to touchdowns or prevent opposing touchdowns that you can do consistently against a bunch of opponents get closer to telling us something about what you’ll do with the next opponent. In other words, I think the ability to get three yards when you absolutely need to against everyone you’ve played tells us more about your team than previous point spread.
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There’s no transitive property in football. We can’t predict scores based on comparing who scored what against who. Matchups are what matters. There were a couple years (2014, 2015) where PNG beat a bad Goose Creek Memorial team 47-20 and 42-14. Nederland lost to GCM those years 56-55 and 18-14 (their only district loss in both years). Nederland beat PNG both years, despite PNG beating GCM by 17 and 28 points in those years. The point is, I don’t think we learn much, if anything, by LC losing to Magnolia and then Magnolia beating a team PNG beat. The only thing that matters is what can LC do on defense against PNG that specifically counters what PNG does, what can LC do on offense that PNG will struggle to counter, and how do both teams manage the game (play calling, clock management, etc).
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There’s about four games I was really confident on that blew up in my face
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It’s entirely situational - I don’t think either way adds an advantage in and of itself.
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Silsbee takes this.
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La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
It would be cool to help LP break in that new stadium -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
Good game LP. I think both teams come away with a lot to work on. Exactly what you want from a preseason game. -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
!!score:35/49/F -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
!!score:35/49/4 -
Deleted
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La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
!!score:28/49/4 -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
LP’s play calling is really impressive. They’ve been studying us -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
Good png drive. !!score:28/42/3 -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
PNG has to stop arm tackling . It’s so uncharacteristic . That Rb probably squats 350. Hand grabs aren’t going to do it. -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
LP tries onside kick. PNG ball -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
!!score:21/35/3 That Rb is a problem -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
Pick 6 for png. !!score:35/14/3 -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
I was surprised he ran it . But I respect the gamble. We’ve made a lot of tackling mistakes and pursuit miscues tonight, so it’s not unreasonable to try to make something happen. -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
I don’t know why PnG thinks 2nd and 3 is passing territory. It’s “just run the ball and get another first down” territory. -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
La Porte is doing a lot right. I’m loving their run game. Just wish we would stop it. Tackling is poor tonight. !!score:14/14/2 -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
!!score:7/14/1 -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
Fumble LP, PnG ball on their 24 -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
!!score:7/7/1 LP is well coached. Big defensive front. And, PnG’s getting exposed on outside coverage. On LP’s scoring drive the outside flat was left wide open for them. This is going to be a really good game for us going into district -
La Porte (35) @ Port Neches-Groves (49) - FINAL
Rez replied to jdawg03's topic in High School Football
Hopefully they can get healthy in time for district. -
Fort bend marshall 28 Dallas skyline 14 final !!
Rez replied to lcm93's topic in High School Football
The defense looks lights out. And, I think the offense will come together. They’re getting great “do your job even when you’re getting beaten” reps against talented defenses.