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Matthew328

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Matthew328 last won the day on August 21

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  1. Thats Pigskin Prep's formula.....we just run it on our site...it takes into account SOS, opponents SOS, etc.....if you are favored to win by 30 and you "only" win by 27 you'll drop some because you didnt cover the "spread"
  2. 10:30pm Saturday!!
  3. I will say I think Coach Williams has done an outstanding job at United this year....and that sentiment has been given to me by multiple head coaches in the district unprompted
  4. My sources indicate a 3-3 vote regarding forfeit (I did not think forfeit was warranted personally)
  5. Looked like he walked off under his own power
  6. just kick out of bounds instead of kicking to that guy
  7. I think most who pay attention can go statewide picking winners at a 65-70% clip depending on the year...I run at around 70% on the small sample that I pick...but I'm also picking the marquee games with typically smaller margins...the computer running at +80% for 5 yrs is pretty salty....I think that'd be hard to find a person doing that for that long that consistently
  8. Only thing I've seen is picking winners and over a 5 year average its just just shy if 81% in the regular season...playoffs go down to just above 64% which makes sense... I'd probably have to have an excel wizard do some work to get a variance based on the predicted spread
  9. Computer model also gets a ton right..but typically its only the misses they remember..saying H-J would beat Shepherd isn't some off the wall prediction...its in my view totally plausible in a hypothetical world
  10. Schools always can opt up to play closer to home....so for example PNG could opt up to D1 and play in 9-5A D1
  11. Shepherd in our computer models is a 4-point favorite over H-J not unrealistic by any means
  12. I know La Porte has a really good freshman RB but I'm guessing they dont think he's ready for varsity yet....I think if they had a back even close to Ruffin they'd move Ruffin back to defense full-time and only use him sparingly on offense....I also think in the playoffs regardless we'll see Ruffin and Smith get snaps in key moments in the secondary....
  13. I believe it was just the 2nd Qtr when Duron got hurt, if thats when it happened, my guess was the plan was probably to pull him at halftime...its unfortunate for Angleton....
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