Matthew328

Thursday: Canadian vs Muleshoe for a half; Amarillo Palo Duro vs El Paso Hanks Friday: Spearman vs New Deal and Hale Center vs Bovina Saturday: Houston Heights vs Houston Stratford; Aldine Davis vs The Woodlands

Yeah there was some issue with my mic...I just tried talking louder after about the first 15 minutes and feedback was it was better...thank you so much for watching

Almost time!!!

Thats Pigskin Prep's formula.....we just run it on our site...it takes into account SOS, opponents SOS, etc.....if you are favored to win by 30 and you "only" win by 27 you'll drop some because you didnt cover the "spread"

10:30pm Saturday!!

I will say I think Coach Williams has done an outstanding job at United this year....and that sentiment has been given to me by multiple head coaches in the district unprompted

My sources indicate a 3-3 vote regarding forfeit (I did not think forfeit was warranted personally)

Actually the emails bounced lol

Looked like he walked off under his own power

just kick out of bounds instead of kicking to that guy

I think most who pay attention can go statewide picking winners at a 65-70% clip depending on the year...I run at around 70% on the small sample that I pick...but I'm also picking the marquee games with typically smaller margins...the computer running at +80% for 5 yrs is pretty salty....I think that'd be hard to find a person doing that for that long that consistently

Only thing I've seen is picking winners and over a 5 year average its just just shy if 81% in the regular season...playoffs go down to just above 64% which makes sense... I'd probably have to have an excel wizard do some work to get a variance based on the predicted spread

Computer model also gets a ton right..but typically its only the misses they remember..saying H-J would beat Shepherd isn't some off the wall prediction...its in my view totally plausible in a hypothetical world

There's not

Schools always can opt up to play closer to home....so for example PNG could opt up to D1 and play in 9-5A D1

Shepherd in our computer models is a 4-point favorite over H-J not unrealistic by any means

I know La Porte has a really good freshman RB but I'm guessing they dont think he's ready for varsity yet....I think if they had a back even close to Ruffin they'd move Ruffin back to defense full-time and only use him sparingly on offense....I also think in the playoffs regardless we'll see Ruffin and Smith get snaps in key moments in the secondary....

I believe it was just the 2nd Qtr when Duron got hurt, if thats when it happened, my guess was the plan was probably to pull him at halftime...its unfortunate for Angleton....

competitive equity....if you have a district say 7-4A D1 and those teams were all in the same combined district you'd have a school with 1,200 kids in the D2 bracket because the top 3 teams are all over 1,200 playing schools with 600 kids....huge difference Its the biggest complaint about 6A is occasionally you'll get a really large school go D2 (Katy for example) and they dominate

Computer doesnt factor in injuries.... Wonder if Angleton throws out Jammer in some wildcat QB packages just to ensure he has the ball in his hands

There's good arguments on both sides of it...there's a lot of 6A people clammoring for splitting too... Bottom line is more supts want the split for football than dont...until there's enough in a class that ask the UIL to change they won't...same in 6A....enough supts are happy not being split that it wont change

if H-J stayed D2 they'd be a playoff team this year IMO

All 10-14 point games aren't created equally....but also I shoulda clarified I'm not sold on Montgomery being elite...I think they are a good team...probably top 15, at worst top 20 in 5A-D2...but not sure they are top 5 level

I expect PNG to win this by 10-14 points....I'm not 100% sold on Montgomery yet...

We used to try and collect early but then we'd have to correct #s after the fact and it was a PiA So we aren't asking for any numbers until mid-week and hoping they are finalized