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UT alum

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Everything posted by UT alum

  1. 2015. I said one of three states would flip. Florida was least likely of the three, but I will bat at least .333. That gets you in the hall of fame.
  2. I maintain my stated position today. The end is near for Donald Trump’s political career.
  3. We’re in the same boat there.
  4. I refer to people in similar situations (silver spoon and all) as accidents of birth. All they had to go to get it is be born. Remember the song Wind-Up by Jethro Tull on Aquakung?
  5. Flip that, and it’s pretty close to my guess.
  6. I’m not Elon, but I’ll open bidding at $50 for Harris.
  7. I don’t see how it’s condescending to anyone who can read. I just quote the articles and amendments as written.
  8. Yeah, but there’s nothing about roads in the Constitution except “postal roads”. If you are going to be an originalist, you can’t cherry pick. i don’t agree, but at any rate I’d rather have crumbs thrown at me than paper towels
  9. Your Rasmussen dude conveniently left out the FACT that the 18% lead was taken from polls BEFORE June 24. The race started changing the day the Supreme Court overturned Roe vs. Wade. Trump is sunk.
  10. How about a correction from the top down. The last three corrections whacked the middle class and rewarded the 1%. Tax the top, cut the military budget back to where we’re maybe bigger than the next 5 countries instead of 10. Streamline the bureaucracy and we’ll be close to reestablishing the middle class and building true long term growth.
  11. Medicare, Medicaid, and social security “promote the general welfare” as stated in the Preamble and in Section 8. Section 8, as respects infrastructure, states that a postal service and post roads are to be established. Does that make the Interstate Highway system unconstitutional? It ain’t in the document.
  12. Did you read my opening post? I knew two weeks before that the polls were missing the break to Trump. This time I feel it’s going the other way.
  13. Rasmussen consistently skews Republican. Every presidential cycle I’ve seen. So, I have my doubts about his comments. I’ll either look like a fool or a savant. We’ll see come Tuesday.
  14. No, gumming up will delay the tally giving Trump fuel to sow doubt and start lawsuits attempting to overthrow his defeat again. He is a master of delay.
  15. The Selzer Poll (a gold standard poll) shows Harris up 47-44 in Iowa. Mark my words…
  16. I’ve never agreed with advertising prescription medicine on TV. If you think Big Pharma will let RFK Jr. get in their way, you need to wake up. They keep Republicans (and some democrats) from making them compete, whether it’s to have to negotiate with Medicare or let us choose to get our meds from Canada. What concerns me is not some nefarious media plot to keep us uninformed. It’s the fact that by spending more for advertising (by 37%) than R&D, they are stifling efforts to find better products. They don’t need to if there’s no competition. It’s the Republican Party that consistently blocks Medicare negotiaions. As an aside, what if supplements were regulated? FOX News would go out of business.
  17. I’ve been paying attention to presidential elections since 1968 and I’ve followed and voted in every one since 1972. There have been 3 breaks I can think of and I watched them happen and could almost feel them happening. The first one was Jimmy Carter in 1979. About ten days out he was ahead, but I could tell from the reporting and just people around here I talked to it always breaking fast towards Reagan. The second time was 1987. Micheal Dukakis folded like a cheap suit. It was like watching a slow motion train wreck. The third one was in 2011. Comey announced a reopening of Hillary’s laptop, which was the final straw, but I could tell a little before then that it was breaking fast towards Trump. Her campaign was poorly run.I think the 4th one is happening. Polls, campaigns, overall uptick in enthusiasm for Harris and Democratic voters while Trump keeps up with bizarre speeches and low energy rallies. I been saying over and over a national campaign cannot outsourced. That’s the main responsibility of the national party for its nominees. It was a big mistake to put Musk in charge in Pennsylvania. An effective ground game cannot be bought. It has to be built. Trump’s 12 years of chaos within the party has allowed the Republicans ground game to atrophy. I can feel the shift just like I felt the other three. I’m predicting an upset in Florida, Iowa, or Ohio. The house will probably wind up with a 25 seat Democratic majority, and I think the Democrats will also pick up a couple iof seats in the Senate.Donald Trump is going to lose bigly. If I’m wrong, I won’t hide. I’ll take whatever darts and ribs come my way. If I’m right, I’ll be doing some crowing.
  18. I’m telling you, it’s going to be a too big to rig victory for Harris/Walz. The rallies of his I watch are so low energy they almost need life support. Their ground machine is running on the rims while the Democratic machine is as organized as it’s ever been. It was reported that one day recently Pennsylvania volunteer workers all over the state were knocking on 2000 doors a second. That’s an energized turnout machine. All the crazy he’s done the past week dont really filter into the current prediction polls. It’ll have just the right amount to filter in for the poll that counts. The election poll. Trump is toast. Or he’ll maybe be making toast somewhere behind a razor wire topped fence.
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