89Falcon

Just pointed out that the margins from your computer have been way off concerning margins on Shepherd this year. Anyone who pays attention to the sport can accurately predict “winners” based upon history of the programs. Especially on a wide scale.

Understood. Computer model has not been close on Shepherd scores many times this year. Do you have a means of checking the average variance?

Talent. The JR and SR class have been terrible since they started in Junior high. Jasper current FR class is loaded, they will get back to normal shortly. ***They will beat Tarkington similar to everyone else.

Your computer model had Jasper as an 11 point favorite over Shepherd. HJ would have zero chance to make the playoffs in D2.

Zero chance HJ would have made the playoffs in D2.

And West Fork will opt up if they fall short.

Tarkington has already blockaded Colony Ridge. Other districts will not annex and receive someone else’s problems. They have discussed home rule for Plum Grove

Locals meaning “non-Colony Ridge” residents. Particularly the power brokers who wield political influence. Bonds have been attempted on a regular basis including last year. They fail by a large margin. Colony Ridge is the largest migrant community in the United States. Cleveland dynamics/situation are unprecedented in the state.

That is correct. The locals do not want to do anything to help Colony Ridge residents or its developer. The belief is “the more difficult they make the situation, it will discourage continued development”.

It is not going to "property taxes" which pays for school funding. The majority of the population is undocumented and does not participate in voting. The local power brokers will not allow a bond to pass because they do not want to accommodate "Colony Ridge/Terrenos Houston". The only hope is that the district may split someday with home rule going to Colony Ridge.

Coldspring has not grown any. Shepherd will drop back to 3A at the next alignment after the current Senior and Junior class graduate. Tarkington has also lost numbers. Cleveland has lost numbers as well. Splendora is the only one growing at the moment.

They do not.

Shepherd has a drastically different team than what was seen last year including two RBs and their FB. Shepherd OL is significantly upgraded as well. They may not win the games but I wouldn’t put much stock in what was seen last year.

You are correct. Hardin is right on the edge. If HJ and Liberty stay down it could push Shepherd north or southwest. Crockett is also likely to drop as well which would likely remove AS, Trinity and NW.

I dont believe that it is settled on HJ and especially Liberty, opting up again. Dont know much about BC. I honestly see no way for Tarkington to remain up.