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What you're thinking? 22-5a


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If we take all of the emotion out of our homer picks and just look at Returning Lettermen and Starters, this is how 22-5A would play out this year.  I'm not saying this is what will happen, but this is what the 'numbers' tell us.  I'd say the teams in the bottom 4 need to be putting in some extra work.  Numbers are from DCTF so take them for what they are worth.

 

                                       Lettermen

                                       Returning   Starters Returning
Goose Creek Memorial     18            7/5

Beaumont Central             17            6/6

Port Neches Groves          18            6/5

Beaumont Ozen                 20           5/3

 

Baytown Lee                      15           5/6

Nederland                          15           4/5

Lumberton                         15           3/5

Vidor                                  14           3/4

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We'll take that under advisement in Nederland... but the only numbers that win games are the ones on the scoreboard, and they nobody gets points for returning starters. Nederland is rolling with about 6-7 sophomores starting or logging significant playing time, but they are there for a reason.

 

That causes a steep learning curve, but the upside is having those kids for 3 years on varsity.

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  • 1 month later...

1. Nederland - This will come down to MCM I feel.. Edge goes to Nederland for coaching and incumbency
2. PNG - Might be able to reclaim the DC from Ned if they take MCM
3. Central - Will split with the MC teams and beat Ozen
4. Ozen - Will also split with the MC teams but lose to Central
5. Goose Creek - Kind of a wild card but better than the rest of the field
6. Lumberton - Might surprise some people this year with 3-4 wins
7. Vidor - Don't have good reason to expect a resurgence yet; Maybe 2-3 wins
8. Baytown - Bottom of the barrel..

 

 

Hmmm............... 

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  • 3 weeks later...

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