5A playoff projections

[Indianforever]

I know some things aren't worked out yet but how do you see the matchups playing out?

[The Icon]

If Nederland/Central is able to make it:

D1:

PAM vs Porter

Nederland/Central vs New Caney

D2:

PNG vs Barbers Hill

Vidor vs Crosby

 

If Livingston makes it:

D1:

PAM vs Porter

PNG vs New Caney

D2:

Vidor vs Barbers Hill

Livingston vs Crosby

[prepballfan]

Icon what are the scenarios? Or are they to many to count yet?

[Indianforever]

what has to happen for PNG to go D2?...........

the way I see it Central has the best shot of getting in even if PNG beats them this week. They then have Livingston and Lee left and if they win out they are in...is that correct?

[Cougar14.2]

7 minutes ago, indianforever said:

what has to happen for PNG to go D2?...........

the way I see it Central has the best shot of getting in even if PNG beats them this week. They then have Livingston and Lee left and if they win out they are in...is that correct?

If Central loses this weekend Nederland and Livingston have the best shot at getting in. No matter what if Livingston beats Central and Ozen they're in. If Ned and Central both finish 4-4 in district play which is very likely Nederland would get in. Central isn't mathematically eliminated but realistically it's between Livingston and Nederland for the last spot.

[Cougar14.2]

It's a ways away but all fans of the 21-5A and 22-5A D2 playoff teams should be cheering for Hutto to beat Leander Rouse this weekend. If that happens Cedar Park will most likely go D1 with Manvel and Temple leaving the D2 bracket wide open in region 3.

With College Station stud qb Ty Brock breaking his leg and Cedar Park going D1, not only do the bi-district winners have a chance to win a couple of games but they also have a chance to play for the region if things pan out.

[Indianforever]

cmon central or Nederland PNG is rooting for you to get in...lol

[CCRed]

3 minutes ago, indianforever said:

cmon central or Nederland PNG is rooting for you to get in...lol

Pretty confident about getting out of the first round are you ?  BH or Crosby will be no easy game.

[Indianforever]

2 minutes ago, CCRed said:

Pretty confident about getting out of the first round are you ?  BH or Crosby will be no easy game.

not necessarily but if we do we have a better shot...wont have to see manvel 2nd rd in D2

[BHFAN]

There are still a lot of scenarios left in 21-5a to decide seeding. 

• BH wins out and Crosby loses to NC -  BH Div II 1 seed and Crosby Div II 2 seed
• BH loses 1 game -  Crosby DIV II 1 seed and BH Div II 2 Seed
• NC  & BH beat Porter - NC Div I 1 seed and Porter Div I 2 seed
• Porter beats NC and NC loses to Crosby - Porter Div I 1 seed and NC Div I 2 seed
• Porter beats NC and loses to BH So on and so on and so on

[The Icon]

1 hour ago, prepballfan said:

Icon what are the scenarios? Or are they to many to count yet?

It really comes down to the following 3 teams (someone fact check me like Anderson Cooper please): Livingston, Nederland and Central

Livingston owns the Head to Head tiebreaker vs Nederland due to 1-0 forfeit for the ineligible player. If Central find a way to beat Livingston and Nederland can win at least 1 of their last 2, there's a chance of a log jam of 4-4 teams at the end of the regular season. It gets into point differentials after that, and I'm not up to date on those. 

Central could win out and throw a wrench in Nederland's plans, as can Livingston. The only way Nederland can "for sure" make it is by winning out. 

The only teams that are mathematically out are Lumberton and Lee. 

[Brubaker]

1 hour ago, indianforever said:

what has to happen for PNG to go D2?...........

the way I see it Central has the best shot of getting in even if PNG beats them this week. They then have Livingston and Lee left and if they win out they are in...is that correct?

No, incorrect.

[prepballfan]

22 minutes ago, The Icon said:

It really comes down to the following 3 teams (someone fact check me like Anderson Cooper please): Livingston, Nederland and Central

Livingston owns the Head to Head tiebreaker vs Nederland due to 1-0 forfeit for the ineligible player. If Central find a way to beat Livingston and Nederland can win at least 1 of their last 2, there's a chance of a log jam of 4-4 teams at the end of the regular season. It gets into point differentials after that, and I'm not up to date on those. 

Central could win out and throw a wrench in Nederland's plans, as can Livingston. The only way Nederland can "for sure" make it is by winning out. 

The only teams that are mathematically out are Lumberton and Lee. 

ty

[NDNation]

What site can we see prediction brackets all the way to the SC game?

[NDNation]

1 hour ago, The Icon said:

It really comes down to the following 3 teams (someone fact check me like Anderson Cooper please): Livingston, Nederland and Central

Livingston owns the Head to Head tiebreaker vs Nederland due to 1-0 forfeit for the ineligible player. If Central find a way to beat Livingston and Nederland can win at least 1 of their last 2, there's a chance of a log jam of 4-4 teams at the end of the regular season. It gets into point differentials after that, and I'm not up to date on those. 

Central could win out and throw a wrench in Nederland's plans, as can Livingston. The only way Nederland can "for sure" make it is by winning out. 

The only teams that are mathematically out are Lumberton and Lee. 

What about Ozen?

[Guest Aledoalumni]

3 hours ago, Cougar14.2 said:

It's a ways away but all fans of the 21-5A and 22-5A D2 playoff teams should be cheering for Hutto to beat Leander Rouse this weekend. If that happens Cedar Park will most likely go D1 with Manvel and Temple leaving the D2 bracket wide open in region 3.

With College Station stud qb Ty Brock breaking his leg and Cedar Park going D1, not only do the bi-district winners have a chance to win a couple of games but they also have a chance to play for the region if things pan out.

Count this Aledo guy cheering for Hutto! 

[bulldawg64]

Central would have to beat livingston by 14 is what i was told in a 3 way tie at 4-4 cen/liv/ned

[Bigdog]

2 hours ago, The Icon said:

It really comes down to the following 3 teams (someone fact check me like Anderson Cooper please): Livingston, Nederland and Central

Livingston owns the Head to Head tiebreaker vs Nederland due to 1-0 forfeit for the ineligible player. If Central find a way to beat Livingston and Nederland can win at least 1 of their last 2, there's a chance of a log jam of 4-4 teams at the end of the regular season. It gets into point differentials after that, and I'm not up to date on those. 

Central could win out and throw a wrench in Nederland's plans, as can Livingston. The only way Nederland can "for sure" make it is by winning out. 

The only teams that are mathematically out are Lumberton and Lee. 

Ozen is out as well. (head to vs Ned and Central) (Also -20 vs Ned and -21 vs Central)

Central has Livingston, Lee and PNG left and are currently 2-3 in district.

Livingston has PAM , Central and Ozen left and are 3-3 in district.

Ned has Lumberton and PNG left and are 3-3 in district.

If Ned wins out they are in and the rest of this probably won't matter. (Assuming PAM beats Livingston)

If it ends up a three way tie it goes to point differential.

Ned:                          

-1 vs Livingston

+7 vs Central

+ 6 so far

Central:

-7 vs Ned

(Final score in Central vs Livingston game)

-7 so far

Livingston:

+1 vs Ned

(Final score in Central v Livingston game)

+1 so far.

So I think it would go like this:

If Central beats Livingston by 14 they are in.  -7 (currently) +14 (Livingston gm) would equal +7 total

  If Central wins by less than 14 , Ned is in.   -7 (currently) +13 or less (Livingston gm) would equal +6 or less total. (Livingston would be out and it would go head-to-head, Ned won the game.)

  If Livingston wins they are in. (+1 vs Ned) 

[Indianforever]

so there will be a lot of bulldog fans at the central/Livingston game next week?

[Bigdog]

7 minutes ago, indianforever said:

so there will be a lot of bulldog fans at the central/Livingston game next week?

Probably.  Not rooting for Livingston but hoping Central doesn't beat them by 14.

[bulldawg64]

No we have to beat lumberton at our stadium first or it does not mean diddly what central does if we do not win we need to worry about the dogs what happens elsewhere will happen regardlous if dogs are barking there or not  go jags! 

[Lightning/Eagle]

16 minutes ago, bigdog said:

Ozen is out as well. (head to vs Ned and Central) (Also -20 vs Ned and -21 vs Central)

Central has Livingston, Lee and PNG left and are currently 2-3 in district.

Livingston has PAM , Central and Ozen left and are 3-3 in district.

Ned has Lumberton and PNG left and are 3-3 in district.

If Ned wins out they are in and the rest of this probably won't matter. (Assuming PAM beats Livingston)

If it ends up a three way tie it goes to point differential.

Ned:                          

-1 vs Livingston

+7 vs Central

+ 6 so far

Central:

-7 vs Ned

(Final score in Central vs Livingston game)

-7 so far

Livingston:

+1 vs Ned

(Final score in Central v Livingston game)

+1 so far.

So I think it would go like this:

If Central beats Livingston by 14 they are in.  -7 (currently) +14 (Livingston gm) would equal +7 total

  If Central wins by less than 14 , Ned is in.   -7 (currently) +13 or less (Livingston gm) would equal +6 or less total. (Livingston would be out and it would go head-to-head, Ned won the game.)

  If Livingston wins they are in. (+1 vs Ned) 

What if Livingston beats central and Ozen but loses to PAM? They would be 5-3 with head to head wins over Central and Nederland.

[bulldawg64]

They r in

[Bigdog]

22 minutes ago, bulldawg64 said:

No we have to beat lumberton at our stadium first or it does not mean diddly what central does if we do not win we need to worry about the dogs what happens elsewhere will happen regardlous if dogs are barking there or not  go jags! 

True.  All this assumes that Ned beats Lumberton and loses to PNG.  If Ned wins out , it depends on what Livingston does against Central,Ozen and PAM.

[Bigdog]

24 minutes ago, Lightning/Eagle said:

What if Livingston beats central and Ozen but loses to PAM? They would be 5-3 with head to head wins over Central and Nederland.

Livingston is in, see the last line of the post.