Lumberton Population

[82 5A State Champs]

What's messed up is, where they're proposing this housing project being built, is a huge flood area. Itll be interesting to see how that is effected.

[purpleeagle]

Wow, you talk about getting the cart ahead of the horse.

[Austin1985]

I've been hearing about L-Town's growth like I've heard about the US being great at soccer.........

I'll believe both when I see it......

[CardinalBacker]

19 hours ago, whsalum said:

1600 acres on each side of FM421 just west of the park will fall entirely in the Lumberton ISD.

Is this true or speculation? I haven’t seen any proposed actual location. 

[navydawg31]

On 6/5/2019 at 8:35 AM, OneChance said:

None of those cities you mentioned have developed 3200 acres and increased the population by 50%. Most local developments are under well under a 100 acres.

Maybe Cardinal Backer can our some insight on how much acres but 1442 growth was a lot with all those new subdivisions. OF not near as much, but a lot of new neighborhoods and there enrollment went down...  No way 6A will happen.

[whsalum]

I don't know the exact location of this proposed addition but its several miles out FM421 to the HJ boundary.

[CardinalBacker]

5 hours ago, navydawg31 said:

Maybe Cardinal Backer can our some insight on how much acres but 1442 growth was a lot with all those new subdivisions. OF not near as much, but a lot of new neighborhoods and there enrollment went down...  No way 6A will happen.

It's all relative.... If you gain some housing out on 1442 but lose some older housing due to homes NOT rebuilt after flooding in 08 and 17, you can stay pretty static.

It also makes difference if you have more homes but fewer people living in each of those homes.  The old "Mom, Dad, and three or more kids" scenario in each home doesn't really play out so much anymore. A lot of Bridge City (especially the older areas) is made up of retirement aged population where the kids have moved on, and now it's just the Mom and Dad by themselves.  

The homes in Bridgefield tend to be pretty spread out with 1+ acre lots.  I'd be amazed if the entire development out there on 1442 totaled 700 acres, and those places aren't very densely populated.  If you look at Westwood in Lumberton where the houses are jammed on top of each other, you'd see a lot larger population growth.  It really comes down to how closely the new homes are placed, etc...

One other point that's lost on a lot of people is that the classifications continue to grow. Silsbee didn't drop down a classification because of a decrease, but rather the lower line moved up again, if my memory is correct.... but that's not saying anything. 

 

 

 

[Austin1985]

Keep in mind, when the UIL does re-alignment, it's top down.  The top 225 or so schools with the highest enrollment go in 6A.  New schools with 2100 plus enrollment will continue to move that 6A/5A cut off number up to the point the 'growth' of Lumberton may not match the growth of other areas like the northern suburbs of DFW and or San Antonio for example.  I wouldn't be surprised if L-Town stays in 4A DI as the cut-off numbers grown faster than the student population.......

[CardinalBacker]

1 hour ago, Austin1985 said:

Keep in mind, when the UIL does re-alignment, it's top down.  The top 225 or so schools with the highest enrollment go in 6A.  New schools with 2100 plus enrollment will continue to move that 6A/5A cut off number up to the point the 'growth' of Lumberton may not match the growth of other areas like the northern suburbs of DFW and or San Antonio for example.  I wouldn't be surprised if L-Town stays in 4A DI as the cut-off numbers grown faster than the student population.......

Yup. That’s for real.