stevenash Posted December 17, 2019 Report Share Posted December 17, 2019 Housing starts increased 3.2% in November to a 1.365 million annual rate, beating the consensus expected 1.345 million. Starts are up 13.6% versus a year ago. The increase in starts in November was due to both single-family and multi-family starts. In the past year, single-family starts are up 16.7% while multi-unit starts are up 7.3%. Starts in November rose in the South and West, but fell in the Midwest and Northeast. New building permits rose 1.4% in November to a 1.482 million annual rate, easily beating the consensus expected 1.410 million. Compared to a year ago, permits for single-family units are up 8.9% while permits for multi-family homes are up 14.9%.Implications: Following a similarly healthy report in October, housing starts continued to surpass expectations in November. The key driver of the 2019 recovery in home building continues to be single-family starts, which have been on a general upward trend since bottoming in February and are within spitting distance of new highs. Meanwhile, the three-month average of single-family starts hit a post-recession high in November. Conversely, multi-family starts have been range bound since 2015 when an upward trend ended. On average, each single-family home contributes to GDP about twice the amount of a multi-family unit, so a growing share of single-family construction will be a boon for economic growth. And with total permits, and permits for single-family construction, both rising to post-recession highs, builders are clearly becoming more optimistic about future prospects following an all-around tepid year for housing in 2018. This higher sentiment among builders was reflected in yesterday's release of the NAHB index, which rose to a twenty-year high of 76 in December from 71 in November. It's not hard to see why builders expect continued strength in the housing market. Mortgage rates have dropped roughly 110 basis points since the peak late last year while wages are now growing near the fastest pace in a decade, boosting affordability. Our outlook on housing hasn't changed: we continue to anticipate a rising trend in home building in the next few years. Based on fundamentals – population growth and scrappage – the US needs about 1.5 million new housing units per year but hasn't built at that pace since 2006. Additionally- Today Ford Motor Company announced a 1.45 billion investment in Detroit which will provide 3000 new jobs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LumRaiderFan Posted December 17, 2019 Report Share Posted December 17, 2019 Doesn't matter...Trump said Ford would invest 1.46 billion in Detroit and it would create 3001 jobs...what a liar! baddog 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BS Wildcats Posted December 17, 2019 Report Share Posted December 17, 2019 2 hours ago, stevenash said: Housing starts increased 3.2% in November to a 1.365 million annual rate, beating the consensus expected 1.345 million. Starts are up 13.6% versus a year ago. The increase in starts in November was due to both single-family and multi-family starts. In the past year, single-family starts are up 16.7% while multi-unit starts are up 7.3%. Starts in November rose in the South and West, but fell in the Midwest and Northeast. New building permits rose 1.4% in November to a 1.482 million annual rate, easily beating the consensus expected 1.410 million. Compared to a year ago, permits for single-family units are up 8.9% while permits for multi-family homes are up 14.9%.Implications: Following a similarly healthy report in October, housing starts continued to surpass expectations in November. The key driver of the 2019 recovery in home building continues to be single-family starts, which have been on a general upward trend since bottoming in February and are within spitting distance of new highs. Meanwhile, the three-month average of single-family starts hit a post-recession high in November. Conversely, multi-family starts have been range bound since 2015 when an upward trend ended. On average, each single-family home contributes to GDP about twice the amount of a multi-family unit, so a growing share of single-family construction will be a boon for economic growth. And with total permits, and permits for single-family construction, both rising to post-recession highs, builders are clearly becoming more optimistic about future prospects following an all-around tepid year for housing in 2018. This higher sentiment among builders was reflected in yesterday's release of the NAHB index, which rose to a twenty-year high of 76 in December from 71 in November. It's not hard to see why builders expect continued strength in the housing market. Mortgage rates have dropped roughly 110 basis points since the peak late last year while wages are now growing near the fastest pace in a decade, boosting affordability. Our outlook on housing hasn't changed: we continue to anticipate a rising trend in home building in the next few years. Based on fundamentals – population growth and scrappage – the US needs about 1.5 million new housing units per year but hasn't built at that pace since 2006. Additionally- Today Ford Motor Company announced a 1.45 billion investment in Detroit which will provide 3000 new jobs. All carry over from obama's policies Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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