KFDM COOP Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigdog Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 Ok, what is the definition of a sub-tropical storm vs a tropical storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KFDM COOP Posted September 21, 2007 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 Subtropical means it's not a true tropical system yet. Meaning it has an upper Low (cold air aloft with it, instead of warm air aloft) over it. Once the upper Low moves out it may become a more Tropical system before landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigdog Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 Got it. Thanks. ;D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bullets13 Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 So Coop, most of the graphs are showing this thing hitting Louisiana, but an article in the Enterprise said it could come and hit us instead. What are the odds of this thing actually hitting us? I know that anything can happen, but is it a realistic possibility that we are hit again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bh89-2 Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 Impact Weather ForecastUpdated: Wednesday, September 19th 2007 5:23am CDTTropical Disturbance 50 moved very slowly westward overnight and is now located near the coast of Florida just north of Miami. Pressures in that area continue to fall, though the disturbance remains disorganized. Little has changed as far as our thinking overnight. We expect the disturbance to move across south Florida today and emerge into the eastern Gulf on Thursday. By Thursday, wind shear should be slowly relaxing, and it's likely that a tropical depression will form.High pressure to the north from Thursday through Saturday should result in a west to west-northwest movement at 7-10 mph during that period. We're still not sure how strong the high pressure will be yet, so our confidence in the eventual landfall remains low. The European model, which has done very well so far this season, is forecasting that high pressure will remain strong enough to steer the developing storm westward all the way to the mid Texas coast on Sunday. Most other model guidance indicates landfall from the upper Texas coast to southeast Louisiana. Our thinking is that the most likely track would be toward the upper Texas coast to the mid Louisiana coast with landfall as early as noon Saturday, but possibly as late as Sunday.As for intensity, current model guidance suggests very slow strengthening up until landfall. We do not expect rapid intensification at this time due to the presence of an upper-level low to the west of the developing storm. This low will likely impart wind shear for at least the next several days. But we do think that there is a good chance that the storm could reach hurricane strength prior to its eventual landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KFDM COOP Posted September 21, 2007 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 Slim. It's east of the LA. boot now. It may turn a little west though. and run the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bullets13 Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 thanks for keeping us updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KFDM COOP Posted September 21, 2007 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 BULLETINTROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1ANWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102007100 PM CDT FRI SEP 21 2007...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION HASACQUIRED ENOUGH TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS TO BE CONSIDERED ATROPICAL DEPRESSION.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDAWESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING NEWORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THATTROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREAWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 50MILES... 85 KM...SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 155MILES...250 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA.THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 11 MPH. A TURN TOTHE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THEFORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING NEARLYPARALLEL TO THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY ANDTONIGHT.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATERTODAY OR TOMORROW.THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFTWAS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUMAMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THEDEPRESSION.ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THEFLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT.COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELSCAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...29.7 N...85.9 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 11 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONALHURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.$$FORECASTER FRANKLIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westend1 Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 kinda funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bh89-2 Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 West of the Trinty Weather Service, Official Storm Track. This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up Come on Coop, I owe them this after Griffs rant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kicker Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 West of the Trinty Weather Service, Official Storm Track. This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up Come on Coop, I owe them this after Griffs rant.As distasteful as it is, i just spit diet coke on my screen. Thats funny, I dont care who you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dav-joel Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 West of the Trinty Weather Service, Official Storm Track. This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up Come on Coop, I owe them this after Griffs rant.I'm confused. Does the this storm "WOS" suck instead of blow because it is subtropical and rotates clockwise instead of counterclockwise. ????????? :-* :-* :-* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bh89-2 Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 I'm confused. Does the this storm "WOS" suck instead of blow because it is subtropical and rotates clockwise instead of counterclockwise. ????????? :-* :-* :-*Yes, has something to do with all that Hot Air, like Coop said.... ;D ;D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ndn09 Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 So Coop this Tropical Depression is not going to affect us right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KFDM COOP Posted September 21, 2007 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 Some rain possible Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KFDM COOP Posted September 21, 2007 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 BULLETINTROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102007400 PM CDT FRI SEP 21 2007...DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD A SHORT DISTANCE OFFSHORE...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDAWESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING NEWORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THATTROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREAWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST OR ABOUT 45MILES... 75 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 65MILES...100 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. THISMOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...BRINGING THE CENTER OF THEDEPRESSION VERY NEAR THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO MAKINGLANDFALL.THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVEUNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUMAMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THEDEPRESSION.ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THEFLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT.COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELSCAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...29.9 N...86.4 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANECENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000PM CDT.$$FORECASTER FRANKLIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baddog Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 This may have already been posted. I think it is updated every 15 minutes. Scroll down to see all the maps.http://www.ih2000.net/ira/bmt-wth.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest football09 Posted September 21, 2007 Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 I think that wave in the caribbean might develop monday or so its looking better today...........thats not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KFDM COOP Posted September 21, 2007 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2007 We'll worry about later! I'm going to try and enjoy some Friday Night Football. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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