'22 5AD1 Playoff Projections

[Cougar14.2]

9 hours ago, LoboFan07 said:

This is incorrect.

Barbers Hill has not clinched a playoff seed, and Crosby has not clinched the #4 seed.

Barbers Hill sits at 5-2, Crosby sits at 4-3 and New Caney Porter sits at 4-3.

New Caney Porter faces off against Barbers Hill to end the season.

Assuming Crosby doesn't fall flat on their face in the finale, they'll finish at 5-3. If they do lose, then BH has to beat NCP for the Cougars to get in. But like I said, assuming they don't, it comes down to the Spartans and the Eagles.

If Porter wins, we'll have a three way tie at 5-3. Barbers Hill only beat Crosby by one point. Crosby beat New Caney Porter by 5. So it sits at Crosby +4, Barbers Hill +1, New Caney Porter -5.

Basically New Caney Porter just needs to win by 4 to get into the post season. Then Crosby would finish 3rd (head to head over New Caney Porter), New Caney Porter would finish 4th and Barbers Hill would be out.

I have no idea what happens if NCP wins by 3 and it ends Crosby +4, Barbers Hill -2, New Caney Porter -2. I would assuming the Spartans would get in due to head to head at that point but not going to assume on that scenario.

Glad someone could explain this properly. Your assumption is also correct that Porter only needs to win by three points to get into the playoffs, at which point Crosby moves into 3rd place and plays Lancaster in bi-district. BH can still finish 2nd with a KP loss and a win over Porter or completely miss the playoffs with a loss to Porter by 3 points or more. 

[texaslonghorn14]

42 minutes ago, Cougar14.2 said:

Glad someone could explain this properly. Your assumption is also correct that Porter only needs to win by three points to get into the playoffs, at which point Crosby moves into 3rd place and plays Lancaster in bi-district. BH can still finish 2nd with a KP loss and a win over Porter or completely miss the playoffs with a loss to Porter by 3 points or more. 

Also- If Porter beats BH by 10- Porter is 3rd seed and Crosby is 4th seed. 

[Cougar14.2]

3 minutes ago, texaslonghorn14 said:

Also- If Porter beats BH by 10- Porter is 3rd seed and Crosby is 4th seed. 

No they wouldn’t be. Porter would have a 5-3 district record just like Crosby and finish 4th due to a head to head loss since BH would already be eliminated. 

[AledoAlumni]

16 hours ago, wbfan said:

First time I've ever seen them called "Houston Ball"

I fixed it on the update lol. 

[texaslonghorn14]

17 hours ago, Cougar14.2 said:

No they wouldn’t be. Porter would have a 5-3 district record just like Crosby and finish 4th due to a head to head loss since BH would already be eliminated. 

I confirmed with our AD.  The district coaches elected to use points as a tiebreaker all the way through.  He told me head to head only would come into play if two teams were tied after the points tiebreaker. 

 

 So BH vs Porter will be interesting.

[Cougtalk]

29 minutes ago, texaslonghorn14 said:

I confirmed with our AD.  The district coaches elected to use points as a tiebreaker all the way through.  He told me head to head only would come into play if two teams were tied after the points tiebreaker. 

 

 So BH vs Porter will be interesting.

The way that's written is confusing... 

 

Either you said A. Points tiebreaker will be used to rank final 3 teams and only if the points total were equal between two teams would they use head to head.

or 

B. You are saying that three way tie is decided by the point differential and then the last two teams are determined by head to head.  

 

I think you mean A but the way that's written its hard to tell. 

[AledoAlumni]

46 minutes ago, texaslonghorn14 said:

I confirmed with our AD.  The district coaches elected to use points as a tiebreaker all the way through.  He told me head to head only would come into play if two teams were tied after the points tiebreaker. 

 

 So BH vs Porter will be interesting.

So Crosby is cheering for NCP by +4? BH is simply in with a win?

[texaslonghorn14]

1 hour ago, Cougtalk said:

The way that's written is confusing... 

 

Either you said A. Points tiebreaker will be used to rank final 3 teams and only if the points total were equal between two teams would they use head to head.

or 

B. You are saying that three way tie is decided by the point differential and then the last two teams are determined by head to head.  

 

I think you mean A but the way that's written its hard to tell. 

Sorry for the confusion.  Using your A or B example.  It is example A.

 

 

 

[Separation Scientist]

48 minutes ago, aledoalumni said:

BH is simply in with a win?

Yes. BH would be 6-2 and in for sure with a win. 

[BHFAN]

BH is cheering for a Win and a KWP loss. 

[Cougtalk]

2 hours ago, aledoalumni said:

So Crosby is cheering for NCP by +4? BH is simply in with a win?

No, if what was said above. Crosby is rooting for NCP by 5 or less as it would get us three seed. 

If what was said above is true then Crosby is the 4 seed in every scenario but an NCP win by 5 or less. 

[Mr. Buddy Garrity]

Juicy. 

[PAT00]

On 10/30/2022 at 10:32 AM, Mr. Buddy Garrity said:

Have you had the chance to see a Timberview game this season? If so what's your thoughts on them?? 

No sir. I only go to Duncanville games. I almost always have to take off work or go in late. I may try to watch them in the playoffs….

[Mr. Buddy Garrity]

What's the narrative now? 

[AledoAlumni]

10 hours ago, Mr. Buddy Garrity said:

What's the narrative now? 

More games need to be played for all the dust to settle. 

[Cougtalk]

On 10/31/2022 at 6:27 AM, LoboFan07 said:

I have no idea what happens if NCP wins by 3 and it ends Crosby +4, Barbers Hill -2, New Caney Porter -2. I would assuming the Spartans would get in due to head to head at that point but not going to assume on that scenario.

In this scenario it would be tie broken via head to head. So Porter would be 4 seed. 

[Cougtalk]

Thanks to Thursday games this has simplified. 

Barbers Hill

BH is the 2 seed with a win. 

BH is the four seed with a Loss of 2 or less.

BH is out if loss by 3 or more. 
 

Crosby 

Crosby is a 3 seed if Porter wins by 3-9 points.

Else 4 seed. 
 

Porter 

Porter is 3 seed is win by 10 or more

Porter is four seed with win by 3-9 points 

Porter is out with loss or win by 2 or less. 

 

Kingwood Park 

3 seed with BH win

2 Seed with BH loss. 

[AledoAlumni]

UPDATED BRACKET 11/04

LOCKED IN


W1 El Paso Del Valle vs F2 Abilene
R4 Red Oak vs T3 Denton Ryan
W2 Tascosa vs F1 El Paso Hanks
R3 Burleson Centennial vs T4 Shoemaker
W3 Aledo vs F4 Lake Belton
R2 Lubbock Cooper vs T1 El Paso Bel Air
W4 Midlothian vs F3 Justin Northwest
R1 El Paso Parkland vs T2 Amarillo


W5 Mansfield Timberview vs F6 Frisco Heritage
R8 Barbers Hill vs T7 Forney
W6 Frisco Reedy vs F5 Dallas White
R7 Lancaster vs T8 Kingwood Park
W7 Longview vs F8 Crosby
R6 Frisco Lone Star vs T5 Richland
W8 Port Arthur Memorial vs F7 McKinney North
R5 Birdville vs T6 Frisco Wakeland


W9 Galveston Ball vs F10 Magnolia West
R12 Canyon vs T11 Georgetown
W10 Angleton vs F9 Houston Sterling
R11 College Station vs T12 SA Wagner
W11 A&M Consolidated vs F12 Seguin
R10 Fulshear vs T9 Houston Madison
W12 Smithson Valley vs F11 Cedar Park
R9 Houston Waltrip vs T10 Manvel


W13 SA Southside vs F14 Victoria East
R16 Weslaco East vs T15 McAllen 
W14 CC Veterans Memorial vs F13 Medina Valley 
R15 Edinburg Vela vs T16 Harlingen South
W15 PSJA North vs F16 Donna
R14 CC Miller vs T13 Southwest Legacy
W16 Brownsville Veterans Memorial vs F15 McAllen Rowe
R13 SA Southwest vs T14 Victoria West

[AledoAlumni]

Sorry the post above is hard to read but I lose the color if I do plain text. If anything looks wrong let me know. 

[AledoAlumni]

W1 El Paso Del Valle vs F2 Abilene
R4 Red Oak vs T3 Denton Ryan
W2 Tascosa vs F1 El Paso Ysleta
R3 Burleson Centennial vs T4 Lake Belton
W3 Aledo vs F4 Killeen Shoemaker
R2 Lubbock Cooper vs T1 El Paso Bel Air
W4 Midlothian vs F3 Justin Northwest
R1 El Paso Parkland vs T2 Amarillo


W5 Mansfield Timberview vs F6 Frisco Heritage
R8 Barbers Hill vs T7 Forney
W6 Frisco Reedy vs F5 Dallas White
R7 Lancaster vs T8 Kingwood Park
W7 Longview vs F8 Crosby
R6 Frisco Lone Star vs T5 Richland
W8 Port Arthur Memorial vs F7 McKinney North
R5 Birdville vs T6 Frisco Wakeland


W9 Galveston Ball vs F10 Magnolia West
R12 Canyon vs T11 Georgetown
W10 Angleton vs F9 Houston Madison
R11 College Station vs T12 SA Wagner
W11 A&M Consolidated vs F12 Seguin
R10 Fulshear vs T9 Houston Sterling
W12 Smithson Valley vs F11 Cedar Park
R9 Houston Waltrip vs T10 Manvel


W13 SA Southside vs F14 Victoria East
R16 Harlingen South vs T15 McAllen 
W14 CC Veterans Memorial vs F13 Medina Valley 
R15 Edinburg Vela vs T16 Weslaco East
W15 PSJA North vs F16 Donna
R14 CC Miller vs T13 Southwest Legacy
W16 Brownsville Veterans Memorial vs F15 McAllen Rowe
R13 SA Southwest vs T14 Victoria West

[AledoAlumni]

The post above should be the playoff bracket. 98% sure its correct. 

[WOS1986]

48 minutes ago, aledoalumni said:

The post above should be the playoff bracket. 98% sure its correct. 

Can you post which games will be good game? List and would love see your input.

[WOSdrummer99]

4 hours ago, aledoalumni said:

W3 Aledo vs F4 Killeen Shoemaker

Shoemaker by at least 1

[AledoAlumni]

7 hours ago, WOS1986 said:

Can you post which games will be good game? List and would love see your input.

Some really good/interesting first round games

R4 (8-2) Red Oak vs T3 (6-3) Denton Ryan
R3 (9-1) Burleson Centennial vs (8-2) T4 Lake Belton
R8 (7-3) Barbers Hill vs (7-3) T7 Forney
R6 (7-3) Frisco Lone Star vs (8-2) T5 Richland
R12 (9-1) Canyon vs T11 (8-2) Georgetown
R13 (7-3) SA Southwest vs T14 (5-5) Victoria West

[AledoAlumni]

3 hours ago, WOSdrummer99 said:

Shoemaker by at least 1

I've done some homework on them. They are really solid for being a #4 seed. We will have to show up and compete. No easy games.