89Falcon Posted April 7, 2023 Report Posted April 7, 2023 What about New Caney? Heard they will likely drop. Quote
lcm93 Posted April 7, 2023 Author Report Posted April 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, 89Falcon said: What about New Caney? Heard they will likely drop. I have no idea!! Quote
Mr. Buddy Garrity Posted April 7, 2023 Report Posted April 7, 2023 42 minutes ago, 89Falcon said: What about New Caney? Heard they will likely drop. @Lightning/Eagle would know. Quote
Dirty_but_Dazzling Posted April 7, 2023 Report Posted April 7, 2023 3 hours ago, lcm93 said: The question is 4ad1 ? 4ad2? who asked? curious.. Quote
Separation Scientist Posted April 7, 2023 Report Posted April 7, 2023 10 hours ago, 89Falcon said: What about New Caney? Heard they will likely drop. That's what I was alluding to earlier in the coaches thread. WF will take some of their students. I say its very likely NC drops. I don't know if it impacts Porter or not. I think they all end up 5A's soon, kind of like the Baytown schools. Quote
lcm93 Posted April 7, 2023 Author Report Posted April 7, 2023 1 hour ago, Separation Scientist said: That's what I was alluding to earlier in the coaches thread. WF will take some of their students. I say its very likely NC drops. I don't know if it impacts Porter or not. I think they all end up 5A's soon, kind of like the Baytown schools. They probably end up in vidor lcm lumberton livingston huffman hargrave and splendora district in the next realignment!! Quote
setxathlete14 Posted April 7, 2023 Report Posted April 7, 2023 46 minutes ago, lcm93 said: They probably end up in vidor lcm lumberton livingston huffman hargrave and splendora district in the next realignment!! Some calling me crazy. Quote
WOSdrummer99 Posted April 7, 2023 Report Posted April 7, 2023 10 hours ago, Dirty_but_Dazzling said: who asked? curious.. The voices!! Quote
texaslonghorn14 Posted April 7, 2023 Report Posted April 7, 2023 4 hours ago, Separation Scientist said: That's what I was alluding to earlier in the coaches thread. WF will take some of their students. I say its very likely NC drops. I don't know if it impacts Porter or not. I think they all end up 5A's soon, kind of like the Baytown schools. You are correct West Fork will pull students from both New Caney and Porter. As for next alignment- New Caney will probably be 6A and Porter will be 5A. New Caney has an extremely large Freshmen class (over 700) and Sophomore class (over 600). With rezoning- they will definitely drop in the 24-26 realignment. Separation Scientist 1 Quote
navydawg31 Posted April 7, 2023 Report Posted April 7, 2023 8 hours ago, lcm93 said: They probably end up in vidor lcm lumberton livingston huffman hargrave and splendora district in the next realignment!! I wouldn’t be shocked if Lumberton ends back up in 5A… setxathlete14 1 Quote
setxathlete14 Posted April 8, 2023 Report Posted April 8, 2023 13 hours ago, navydawg31 said: I wouldn’t be shocked if Lumberton ends back up in 5A… Last numbers vidor was actually bigger than lumberton if I recall correctly lumbertons growth is way higher but vidor was just as close as lumberton to being 5a. Separation Scientist 1 Quote
navydawg31 Posted April 8, 2023 Report Posted April 8, 2023 8 hours ago, setxathlete14 said: Last numbers vidor was actually bigger than lumberton if I recall correctly lumbertons growth is way higher but vidor was just as close as lumberton to being 5a. You are correct about Vidor having bigger number but that Lumberton Growth… from what I heard from a Lumberton MS football coach these are record number size for the current 6th-8th grade. They are saying it’s huge and every week more kids are moving in… Another one to watch for is Splendora, all that growth in that area Splendora will be 5A very soon… we had a regular Splendora poster that said in the next realignment or 2 they will be 5A a few years back… I drove through that area not along ago and was hard to recognize so much new growth and neighborhoods as well. 2022-2024 UIL numbers for good measure. Lumberton 1215 Vidor 1229 LCM 1024 Livingston 1152 Huffman 1099 Splendora 1234 Mr. Buddy Garrity 1 Quote
Separation Scientist Posted April 9, 2023 Report Posted April 9, 2023 The current 4A-5A cutoff is 1300. Its likely to rise some like it does most every time around. I think Lumberton and Vidor both stays 4A for at least another cycle. Splendora is the likely first one to make the 5A jump. Quote
setxathlete14 Posted April 9, 2023 Report Posted April 9, 2023 4 hours ago, Separation Scientist said: The current 4A-5A cutoff is 1300. Its likely to rise some like it does most every time around. I think Lumberton and Vidor both stays 4A for at least another cycle. Splendora is the likely first one to make the 5A jump. Usually iirc. 1.4% ish usual rise Quote
Separation Scientist Posted April 9, 2023 Report Posted April 9, 2023 That would put the cutoff at 1318, making Lumberton 103 away, Vidor 89 away, and Splendora 84 away. I think none of them jump this cycle, Splendora jumps the next cycle, Lumberton the one after that, then Vidor after that. Just a guess. Quote
navydawg31 Posted April 9, 2023 Report Posted April 9, 2023 2 hours ago, Separation Scientist said: That would put the cutoff at 1318, making Lumberton 103 away, Vidor 89 away, and Splendora 84 away. I think none of them jump this cycle, Splendora jumps the next cycle, Lumberton the one after that, then Vidor after that. Just a guess. Once UIL creates that 7A it’s going to be very interesting to see the numbers… Quote
Separation Scientist Posted April 9, 2023 Report Posted April 9, 2023 I agree. It will reverberate down through all the classifications, with the largest ones feeling the most affect. Quote
navydawg31 Posted April 9, 2023 Report Posted April 9, 2023 4 hours ago, Separation Scientist said: I agree. It will reverberate down through all the classifications, with the largest ones feeling the most affect. With the talks and flirts of it I wish they would go ahead and do it. I’m just not sure how far away we are from seeing it… @Matthew328 might be able to shed some light on how far we are away from possibly seeing 7A coming to play. Quote
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