My thoughts?
Trump by a mile. I wish he’d have avoided the Hunter/Election stuff. The whole “I wouldn’t have been indicted if I weren’t running” works… “your son is a felon, too” might get MAGA to cheer, but not the people who aren’t committed. I wish he didn’t preach to the choir so much.
By comparison, the non-partisans might feel like the better choice is Trump. Biden was so bad that I could see him stepping out or being forced out of the race.
Here’s the big news… I’m hedging my bets somewhat. Pay attention. If Biden stays in, I like Trump’s chances better than I did before the debate. He had a really good performance. Kinda makes me wonder what would have happened if Trump had performed like this in ‘20.