5 Battle Ground States

[HuntersLaptop2028]

1 hour ago, 5GallonBucket said:

 

“Her” I’m assuming Kamala is a female hopefully I’m not offending anyone……NOT

one minute you guys are calling her a whore.. next minute you’re calling her a transgender

you trump worshippers need therapy  

[5GallonBucket]

8 hours ago, HuntersLaptop2028 said:

one minute you guys are calling her a whore.. next minute you’re calling her a transgender

you trump worshippers need therapy  

Hey you guys are the ones that can’t figure what is what. Don’t blame me for the characterization y’all created.  She/he could be both a whore and a trans.   

i don’t worship any human. Im not a fan of the man s personal life and antics and I also disagree with some of his policies but I can clearly see he is by far the better option than Kamala.  
you and your “red hatters and trump this trump that” is all you have….elementary and immature. But go ahead and run with it since it makes you feel good….most of us see right thru it. When trumps gone what will you have then….will he still occupy that space or will you come to realize/mature with such a void upstairs? 

[HuntersLaptop2028]

4 hours ago, 5GallonBucket said:

Hey you guys are the ones that can’t figure what is what. Don’t blame me for the characterization y’all created.  She/he could be both a whore and a trans.   

i don’t worship any human. Im not a fan of the man s personal life and antics and I also disagree with some of his policies but I can clearly see he is by far the better option than Kamala.  
you and your “red hatters and trump this trump that” is all you have….elementary and immature. But go ahead and run with it since it makes you feel good….most of us see right thru it. When trumps gone what will you have then….will he still occupy that space or will you come to realize/mature with such a void upstairs? 

You graduated from trump university didn’t ya 

[5GallonBucket]

1 hour ago, HuntersLaptop2028 said:

You graduated from trump university didn’t ya 

Thank you for proving my point. Carry on.

[LumRaiderFan]

39 minutes ago, 5GallonBucket said:

Thank you for proving my point. Carry on.

lol, I thought the same thing.

[HuntersLaptop2028]

1 hour ago, 5GallonBucket said:

Thank you for proving my point. Carry on.

You’re doubling down on calling people whores and transgenders then come in here on a high horse

Holy moly trump supporters are the worst man lol 

[thetragichippy]

08-27-2024                 State                      Today

Harris +1                  Arizona                 Trump +1

Trump +.6                Georgia                 Trump +.7

Harris +.6                 Nevada                Harris +1.5

Harris +1.6               Penn                    Harris +.8

Harris +3.8               Wisc                    Harris 1.8

 

The race is tightening up. I'm using 538, which takes an average of several polls. 8-27-2024 is when I made this original post.  If I was a Harris supporter, I would be concerned. While the polls have not been perfect, 538 was the most accurate, and the one consistent is Trump has out performed the poll numbers in 2016 and 2020.....

[tvc184]

1 hour ago, thetragichippy said:

08-27-2024                 State                      Today

Harris +1                  Arizona                 Trump +1

Trump +.6                Georgia                 Trump +.7

Harris +.6                 Nevada                Harris +1.5

Harris +1.6               Penn                    Harris +.8

Harris +3.8               Wisc                    Harris 1.8

 

The race is tightening up. I'm using 538, which takes an average of several polls. 8-27-2024 is when I made this original post.  If I was a Harris supporter, I would be concerned. While the polls have not been perfect, 538 was the most accurate, and the one consistent is Trump has out performed the poll numbers in 2016 and 2020.....

We can always put polls in the, “for what it’s worth” department.

 The Real Clear Politics average of several polls is Harris at +2.

 The Atlas Intel poll which almost nailed the final outcomes in 2016 and 2020, has Trump at +3 nationally and +3 in Pennsylvania. 

The RCP average has Trump at +0.3 in Pennsylvania. 

[thetragichippy]

On 9/30/2024 at 10:20 AM, thetragichippy said:

08-27-2024                 State                      Today

Harris +1                  Arizona                 Trump +1

Trump +.6                Georgia                 Trump +.7

Harris +.6                 Nevada                Harris +1.5

Harris +1.6               Penn                    Harris +.8

Harris +3.8               Wisc                    Harris 1.8

 

The race is tightening up. I'm using 538, which takes an average of several polls. 8-27-2024 is when I made this original post.  If I was a Harris supporter, I would be concerned. While the polls have not been perfect, 538 was the most accurate, and the one consistent is Trump has out performed the poll numbers in 2016 and 2020.....

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Posted September 30 · IP 

08-27-2024                 State                      9/30                      TODAY

Harris +1                  Arizona                 Trump +1             Trump  +1.4

Trump +.6                Georgia                 Trump +.7            Trump +1.1

Harris +.6                 Nevada                Harris +1.5             Harris +.8

Harris +1.6               Penn                    Harris +.8               Harris  +.8

Harris +3.8               Wisc                    Harris 1.8               Harris +.8

 

No matter how you slice it, Harris is losing ground while Trump picks up steam.......I don't think the circus interviews she did helped her much.....

[thetragichippy]

15 hours ago, thetragichippy said:

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Posted September 30 · IP 

08-27-2024                 State                      9/30                      TODAY

Harris +1                  Arizona                 Trump +1             Trump  +1.4

Trump +.6                Georgia                 Trump +.7            Trump +1.1

Harris +.6                 Nevada                Harris +1.5             Harris +.8

Harris +1.6               Penn                    Harris +.8               Harris  +.8

Harris +3.8               Wisc                    Harris 1.8               Harris +.8

 

No matter how you slice it, Harris is losing ground while Trump picks up steam.......I don't think the circus interviews she did helped her much.....

 

     State                            TODAY                             TODAY (2020)

  ARIZONA                         Trump  +1.4                    Biden +3.8

  GEORGIA                         Trump +1.1                     Biden +.8

   NEVADA                         Harris +.8                        Biden +6.8

   PENN                             Harris  +.8                       Biden +7.1

   WISC                             Harris +.8                         Biden +7.3

 

Comparing today versus the same day in 2020 -  It's pretty obvious who has the momentum. 

[baddog]

Trump’s going to take NY. It will be close.

[Reagan]

22 minutes ago, baddog said:

Trump’s going to take NY. It will be close.

I did hear he was polling 40% of the black vote in NY.  So, yeah, it’s possible.

[thetragichippy]

26 minutes ago, baddog said:

Trump’s going to take NY. It will be close.

I think he will beat expectations in NY, but something really big would have to happen for him to win it...

[thetragichippy]

6 minutes ago, thetragichippy said:

I think he will beat expectations in NY, but something really big would have to happen for him to win it...

Right now it shows Harris at 53.8 and trump at 39.7  (+14.2)

Actual results in 2020 was Biden at 60.9 and Trump at 37.7  (+23.2)

HE's trending much better, just don't see him taking it

[baddog]

28 minutes ago, thetragichippy said:

I think he will beat expectations in NY, but something really big would have to happen for him to win it...

Shut down the vote counting, bring in several 18 wheeler loads of late mail-in ballots with 99% votes for Trump, and I think we have a winner. With NY in the bag, he just needs a couple swing states. I know it will work. I’ve seen it happen.

[5GallonBucket]

49 minutes ago, baddog said:

Shut down the vote counting, bring in several 18 wheeler loads of late mail-in ballots with 99% votes for Trump, and I think we have a winner. With NY in the bag, he just needs a couple swing states. I know it will work. I’ve seen it happen.

Remember Trump only won Texas by 631,000 votes.  With the influx of liberals leaving liberal states along with immigrants from 2020 till now I can see Texas being very close.   With Kamala as the candidate I believe trump will still win it but it wouldnt shock me if Kamala makes it close or wins it by a few thousand.  

[bullets13]

2 hours ago, thetragichippy said:

I think he will beat expectations in NY, but something really big would have to happen for him to win it...

no way in hell, and i'll bet any amount of money that someone wants to bet on here.

[bullets13]

39 minutes ago, 5GallonBucket said:

Remember Trump only won Texas by 631,000 votes.  With the influx of liberals leaving liberal states along with immigrants from 2020 till now I can see Texas being very close.   With Kamala as the candidate I believe trump will still win it but it wouldnt shock me if Kamala makes it close or wins it by a few thousand.  

I think it may be a little closer, but not THAT close.  lots of republicans in the state don't bother voting because they know it doesn't matter.  this last election showed them that it DOES matter again.

[baddog]

27 minutes ago, bullets13 said:

no way in hell, and i'll bet any amount of money that someone wants to bet on here.

Don’t go out on a limb there. I should have put an “lol” with my post. I have read some interesting articles though. There is so much misinformation out there, it’s hard to know what is real anymore. I do know this…..the reports were that Hillary was going to stomp a mudhole in Trump and she lost big time, so let’s not forget that. I don’t think Trump will win NY, but the outcome will surprise a lot of people.

[bullets13]

25 minutes ago, baddog said:

Don’t go out on a limb there. I should have put an “lol” with my post. I have read some interesting articles though. There is so much misinformation out there, it’s hard to know what is real anymore. I do know this…..the reports were that Hillary was going to stomp a mudhole in Trump and she lost big time, so let’s not forget that. I don’t think Trump will win NY, but the outcome will surprise a lot of people.

Trump lost NY by 23% 2020 AND 2016.  I wouldn't be totally shocked if it was 16-17% this go round, but anything under 15% would surprise the heck out of me.

[5GallonBucket]

1 hour ago, bullets13 said:

I think it may be a little closer, but not THAT close.  lots of republicans in the state don't bother voting because they know it doesn't matter.  this last election showed them that it DOES matter again.

Very true….

I just know the Texas triangle has grown and generally speaking that means more liberals.

[thetragichippy]

As of Today

We all know polls are not 100%, but they sure show a trend. Interesting that in all of the swing states Harris is not wining by more than 0.8,  Harris blew a strong lead in Wisconsin going from a 3 point lead to a 1/2 point lead. 

Harris campaign is struggling and they know it. Harris doing Fox news interviews and going on the Rogan show.....That is going to be brutal......IMO

 

Penn           H +0.7

Georgia       T +1.0

North Carolina   T +1.0

Mich    H  +0.8

Arizona   T +1.6

Wisc     H +.5

Nevada  H  +0.5

 

         

[UT alum]

On 10/10/2024 at 10:52 AM, Reagan said:

I did hear he was polling 40% of the black vote in NY.  So, yeah, it’s possible.

Many people have said? That where you hear it?

[Reagan]

1 hour ago, UT alum said:

Many people have said? That where you hear it?

This guy plays a clip from the head pollster for Rasmmusen Polling.  He say, at the time of the clip, Trump is down only 11%.  Then he says that Trump has 40% of black support in New York!

[SmashMouth]

6 hours ago, thetragichippy said:

As of Today

We all know polls are not 100%, but they sure show a trend. Interesting that in all of the swing states Harris is not wining by more than 0.8,  Harris blew a strong lead in Wisconsin going from a 3 point lead to a 1/2 point lead. 

Harris campaign is struggling and they know it. Harris doing Fox news interviews and going on the Rogan show.....That is going to be brutal......IMO

 

Penn           H +0.7

Georgia       T +1.0

North Carolina   T +1.0

Mich    H  +0.8

Arizona   T +1.6

Wisc     H +.5

Nevada  H  +0.5

 

         

Good work. I love a straightforward argument backed by facts.