SETXsports Broadcaster Posted August 28, 2008 Report Posted August 28, 2008 I bet Gustav is going to end up just east of Lake Charles. well thats just great another 45 miles north and its right in my back yard >
82 5A State Champs Posted August 28, 2008 Report Posted August 28, 2008 Every time I look at one of the updated models, it seems to be inching more and more to the west....and closer to us. As of now it's pointing towards Lake Chuck. Still too close to us. I'm gonna get more overtime than I want if this thing gets too much closer. >
82 5A State Champs Posted August 28, 2008 Report Posted August 28, 2008 somebody's about to get rocked. I'm afraid it might be us. (gulp)!
bullets13 Posted August 28, 2008 Report Posted August 28, 2008 that new picture has us A LOT closer to the center of the possible landing area.
Bobcatfan4life Posted August 28, 2008 Report Posted August 28, 2008 The eastern side of the storm takes the worst hit right coop? How bad would we get it on the west side?
PURPLE 4EVER Posted August 28, 2008 Report Posted August 28, 2008 The eastern side of the storm takes the worst hit right coop? How bad would we get it on the west side? The west side will have gusty north winds. Anything east of Lake Charles and the triangle should be ok. coop... Any chance of the high pressure making this storm stall out when it gets over land? That would be the worst case scenario... Slow West movement after landfall!!
KFDM COOP Posted August 29, 2008 Author Report Posted August 29, 2008 Track is a little farther east!
Lefty99 Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 Track is a little farther east! I'm still not going to get a false sense of hope until this thing makes landfall. It has been all over the place as far as the "possible" location of landfall. Lets continue to cross our fingers!
82 5A State Champs Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 Track is a little farther east! I'm still not going to get a false sense of hope until this thing makes landfall. It has been all over the place as far as the "possible" location of landfall. Lets continue to cross our fingers! Yeah, I'd hate to miss any Friday night football because of some stupid storm. ;D
Mc Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 Just heard the LSU football game got moved from 4PM Sat to 10AM Sat. North bound Contraflow to begin after the game. Wow! That will be one big post-game tailgate party.
Lazeek Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 Coop, Let's just speak hypothetically!!! Assume it has 115 MPH winds and hits Houma......what would the affects be in Beaumont?
KFDM COOP Posted August 29, 2008 Author Report Posted August 29, 2008 My latest hit is to close...Looks like close to Cameron as a Cat 3.
Lazeek Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 My latest hit is to close...Looks like close to Cameron as a Cat 3. And what affects would Beaumont feel?
Castor27 Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 Uggh 2:00 models shifted West again. This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up
KFDM COOP Posted August 29, 2008 Author Report Posted August 29, 2008 Glad those 2 lines are bad models...Pray the HWRF or GFDL are right!!! Bottom line is it's going to be to close!!!
Guest kosmo Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 My latest hit is to close...Looks like close to Cameron as a Cat 3. James Brown said on TV at noon that is was most likely hitting around the New Orleans area on Wednesday. Based on that information, can you guess who my favorite weatherman at channel six is right now?
hockeyfan Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 But I also remember that nearly 3 years ago, J.B. said that Rita wasn't going to be a problem. Still, we all need to get out of our "fantasy world" and not panic until we're told to! This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up LOL Keeping a close eye on it, just in case.
KFDM COOP Posted August 29, 2008 Author Report Posted August 29, 2008 HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 500 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008 ...GUSTAV BECOMES A HURRICANE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN... AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...AND FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...AND GRANMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES... 160 KM...EAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 380 MILES...610 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA. GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT...OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA ON SATURDAY...AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE NEAR THE TIME IT CROSSES WESTERN CUBA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH 8 TO 13 FEET POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN CUBA...INCLUDING ISLA DE JUVENTUD. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN CUBA. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...19.2 N...79.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
PURPLE 4EVER Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 That track looks much better.... Just stay east of Lafayette.... Thanks for keeping us informed.... Hopefully next week it will be school as usual over here in Texas!
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