Guest baseball25 Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 It looks like its going to keep shifting west..guys this is going to be so close and I mean really close.....
Lamar_Basketball Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 Never trust any meteorologist (not named Coop). I remember waking up the morning before Rita, and watching KBMT, and they still had no clue where it was going to end up. I've watched their cones of probability from two days ago not include Corpus Christi (which should mean they can tell with X amount of certainty that there's an absolute 0% chance of it hitting outside of the cone), to today, where Corpus Christi is WELL within their models. My question is, how can their cones get wider as the hurricane becomes closer? A: THEY HAVE NO IDEA WHAT THEY'RE DOING! Realistically, anywhere from Brownsville to Mobile should be on alert.
hockeyfan Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 Never trust any meteorologist. We can't trust Coop? LOL, but I know what you mean. ;D
Guest tigersvoice Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 Never trust any meteorologist (not named Coop). I remember waking up the morning before Rita, and watching KBMT, and they still had no clue where it was going to end up. I've watched their cones of probability from two days ago not include Corpus Christi (which should mean they can tell with X amount of certainty that there's an absolute 0% chance of it hitting outside of the cone), to today, where Corpus Christi is WELL within their models. My question is, how can their cones get wider as the hurricane becomes closer? A: THEY HAVE NO IDEA WHAT THEY'RE DOING! Realistically, anywhere from Brownsville to Mobile should be on alert. I'm not a meteorologist, nor did I stay at - well you know the rest, but the cones of expectation (or whatever) don't get wider as the hurricane nears land. If you could take the mouse and move the cone in any direction you want then you would see that the cone appropriately narrows as the eye of the hurricane approaches land. And did you study meteorology somewhere?
Lamar_Basketball Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 The one Tuesday went from around Galvaston to central Louisiana, didn't include Corpus Christi. Today, it stretches well past Corpus Christi even further into south Texas, to roughly Mobile, Alabama. It's gotten significantly bigger.
Lazeek Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 So...........that is just the way that it is. They are guessing at this point as well. No one has committed it to go to one spot and then changed their mind. That is why there is a cone factor. THEY ARE NOT 100% SURE AT THIS POINT. Who thought that it would move South yesterday...nobody but it did. We will know more in another day or so. Let them do their job....they are human!!!!
Lamar_Basketball Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 I know they're human and the difficulty of tracking these things, I'm just saying - You'd think, with it's getting closer, with more data, you'd think they'd be able to narrow their projections, not widen them.
adminbaberuth Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 Jindal: company not fulfilling contract for evacuation buses by Bill Barrow and Robert Travis Scott, The Times-Picayune Friday August 29, 2008, 7:57 PM BATON ROUGE -- The private contractor the state hired to provide buses for hurricane evacuations has not come through with enough vehicles in a timely manner, causing the state to look elsewhere to meet the state's timeline for moving people out of New Orleans and other areas prior to the arrival of Hurricane Gustav, Gov. Bobby Jindal said Friday. This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up
adminbaberuth Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 What? The models have come into agreement? This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up
tvc184 Posted August 29, 2008 Report Posted August 29, 2008 What? The models have come into agreement? This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up LOL....if you call them being as much as 500 miles apart as in agreement. Even the five or so that are grouped, have about a 200 mile spread. I guess for them, that is close. Give it a couple of hours and they will all change. ;D
82 5A State Champs Posted August 30, 2008 Report Posted August 30, 2008 If that thing makes landfall where the models currently show, I think our houses might survive!
MrsT12 Posted August 30, 2008 Report Posted August 30, 2008 Is this a poll? We vote white!!!!! As long as it's not wide enough to still reach us.
Lamar_Basketball Posted August 30, 2008 Report Posted August 30, 2008 Just got back from getting gas, here's a rendition of the scene down there.
Lazeek Posted August 30, 2008 Report Posted August 30, 2008 Just got back from getting gas, here's a rendition of the scene down there. Why are you panicking and getting gas Lamar_Basketball??? You said not to trust the weather guys!!! ;D
Guest etbu Posted August 30, 2008 Report Posted August 30, 2008 Coop is East Texas like Marshall going to get clocked and much rain? What will the rains be and the winds be by the time it gets that far?
KFDM COOP Posted August 30, 2008 Author Report Posted August 30, 2008 WTNT62 KNHC 301718 TCUAT2 HURRICANE GUSTAV TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 120 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008 DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT GUSTAV HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN AND NOW HAS MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES GUSTAV AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT ABOUT 200 PM EDT TO MODIFY THE INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITIES. THE SPECIAL PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL TAKE THE PLACE OF THE INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY SCHEDULED FOR THAT TIME.
KFDM COOP Posted August 30, 2008 Author Report Posted August 30, 2008 If Landfall occurs where forecasted Leesville could see Hurricane force winds and rains.
adminbaberuth Posted August 30, 2008 Report Posted August 30, 2008 Coop, update us on evacuation calls for the counties please? Also, my rooms are in Austin, what is the latest I can leave using IH 10?
KFDM COOP Posted August 30, 2008 Author Report Posted August 30, 2008 I-10 is fine!! Still waiting on word on Evacuation!!
adminbaberuth Posted August 30, 2008 Report Posted August 30, 2008 I-10 is fine!! Still waiting on word on Evacuation!! Thanks Coop, so no evacuation calls yet, and IH 10 will stay open till manadatory is called, right?
Recommended Posts