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*HURRICANE IKE AFTERMATH AND COMMENTS*

KFDM COOP

By KFDM COOP
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westend1

westend1

Posted
Posted

If you have a place to go, do it. If you stay, there will be no power for lord knows how many days.

1st, calm her down. This is not Armageddon. 2nd, if you have a place to go, do it.

If you are going to invoke our Lord, Jesus Christ, then at least capitalize the word Lord.

Oh, lordy!      ::)

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Mr. Buddy Garrity

Mr. Buddy Garrity

Posted
Posted

The furthest north was GFDL into Galveston Bay which is bad bad news...

NHC big update @ 4pm...

Also, Orange has a curfew (dusk to dawn)...Doubled patrol so stay inside.

If you want traffic updates, we have live cams on www.theexaminer.com and click on Hurricane Ike.

Is the GFDL a reliable model?

pretty much
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HoopInsider_Cooper

HoopInsider_Cooper

Posted
Posted

NHC 4pm update....adjust track now nearly west end of Galveston Island....

Movement: WNW 10mph

Winds: 100mph

000

WTNT34 KNHC 112047

TCPAT4

BULLETIN

HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER  43

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  AL092008

400 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...IKE HEADED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO

BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD REACH THE COAST WITHIN

THE WARNING AREA BY LATE FRIDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM

SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY

TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW

ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 510 MILES...820

KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 400 MILES...

645 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND

THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A

TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY.  ON THE FORECAST

TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER-TEXAS COAST

BY LATE FRIDAY.  HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL

CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE

THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS.  IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.

IKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE

COASTLINE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM

THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275

MILES...445 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT

RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE

EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES

LANDFALL...EXCEPT AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...WHERE SURGE FLOODING OF UP

TO 25 FT COULD OCCUR. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET

ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS

WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA

ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN

GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG

THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN

LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.0 N...89.4 W.  MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100

MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000

PM CDT.

$$

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

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hockeyfan

hockeyfan

Posted
Posted

This is the hidden content, please

MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS FORECAST:

SHORELINE OF MATAGORDA AND GALVESTON BAYS...15 TO 20 FEET

GULF-FACING COASTAL AREAS FROM MATAGORDA TO HIGH ISLAND INCLUDING

GALVESTON ISLAND...12 TO 16 FEET

LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY!

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...

WILL BE INUNDATED DURING HIGH TIDE. PERSONS NOT HEEDING

EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES WILL

FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION

DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND

DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES

LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE

SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE

COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET

FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY

FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY

BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH

MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK

CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO

REPAIR.

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Guest Penny

Guest Penny

Posted
Posted

Storm track continues to shift up the coast, just plotting on a map like an idiot, but this thing looks like east of galveston now, hope it stops the northward jogs.  Could be looking at a significant storm surge.  Have plans ready to get out folks.

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