Lazeek Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 Any word on whether GatorFest will still go on or be cancelled?
TNTITANS Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 Lazeek- May not matter--them gators may be coming to see you anyway!
hockeyfan Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 000 WTNT34 KNHC 100236 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 09 2008 ...IKE BEGINNING TO STRENGTHEN... AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR FLORIDA BAY AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE IS DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES... 195 KM...WEST OF HAVANA CUBA. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. KEY WEST RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH...72 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 60 MPH...96 KM/HR. THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 967 MB...28.56 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES ALONG THE COASTS OF CUBA SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA OVERNIGHT. REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...23.2 N...84.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/BERG This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up
Lazeek Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 I may have to work there this weekend and am hoping that it is cancelled so that I don't have to be out there in TS force winds serving beer!!!! ;D
Lefty99 Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 I may have to work there this weekend and am hoping that it is cancelled so that I don't have to be out there in TS force winds serving beer!!!! ;D Shoot! Serving it? If you are out there you might as well be having a few yourself!!! ;D
KFDM COOP Posted September 9, 2008 Author Report Posted September 9, 2008 THE EYE HAS BEEN WOBBLING AROUND AGAIN BUT THE MEAN MOTION IS NEAR 300/8. THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS SHOULD BE THE FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...IKE SHOULD MAKE A TURN AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THERE IS STILL A QUESTION AS TO HOW SOON THIS TURN WILL BEGIN. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT ON THE MOTION UP TO ABOUT 72 HOURS. AFTERWARD THERE IS STILL SOME DISAGREEMENT ON THE TRAJECTORY AND FORWARD SPEED. THE LATEST RUNS OF THE GFS AND GFDL MODELS HAVE SHIFTED A LITTLE SOUTHWARD BUT THE OVERALL DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS HAS NOT CHANGED APPRECIABLY. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOR THIS PACKAGE IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE. AGAIN...ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT LANDFALL FORECAST POINT DUE TO THE INHERENT UNCERTAINTIES.
Bobcatfan4life Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up
Lefty99 Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 THE EYE HAS BEEN WOBBLING AROUND AGAIN BUT THE MEAN MOTION IS NEAR 300/8. THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS SHOULD BE THE FLOW TO THE SOUTH OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...IKE SHOULD MAKE A TURN AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. THERE IS STILL A QUESTION AS TO HOW SOON THIS TURN WILL BEGIN. THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT ON THE MOTION UP TO ABOUT 72 HOURS. AFTERWARD THERE IS STILL SOME DISAGREEMENT ON THE TRAJECTORY AND FORWARD SPEED. THE LATEST RUNS OF THE GFS AND GFDL MODELS HAVE SHIFTED A LITTLE SOUTHWARD BUT THE OVERALL DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS HAS NOT CHANGED APPRECIABLY. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST FOR THIS PACKAGE IS QUITE SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE. AGAIN...ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT LANDFALL FORECAST POINT DUE TO THE INHERENT UNCERTAINTIES. Yeah, I noticed a min ago that the GFS and GFDL models had shifted a little to the south.  Hope that Ike moves faster and farther to the south before it makes the turn to the North!
westend1 Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 Is it safe to assume that Galveston will be evacuated? Â I have a meeting there Monday.
Mr. Buddy Garrity Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 hey will this thing move right over austin? > :'(
hockeyfan Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 Animation has been updated: This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up Not that it tells anything new, but it does show the way the path has moved over the last two days.
adminbaberuth Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 I have rooms near Austin, if we must go, I'm going to change my plans and go to New Orleans for a change.
venom33 Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 Im confused... there was such a quick call to evacuate for Gustav and we got NOTHING from it, yet, this cane has ALOT better chance of effecting us greatly and the powers that be are waiting until the last minute to make a decision.Seriously,what are they waiting for????? I hope they keep in mind the other very LARGE counties that will be evacuating with us!
HoopInsider_Cooper Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 I can't speak for anyone on the Emergency panel but... We are dealing with multiple BIG cities here...This will be a Rita-type evac. 1 day before and time to go so if I were you, get things ready to go because Thursday would be the day they tell you to get out. Dang if you do, dang if you dont. I know people who left for Austin and they are leaving Austin because it could get nasty there but you won't get 100 mph winds plus I-35 will be a major evac route.
Bulldog92 Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 Ike's crawling right now at 5-7 mph. It better speed up soon or you guys are gonna get a lot more of Ike than you're planning to. >
Guest baseball25 Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 yep your right i am sure its going to nudge a little more noth since its moving so slow the last 5 hours....I mean this is reminding me of rita all over...
PURPLE 4EVER Posted September 10, 2008 Report Posted September 10, 2008 Brazosport ISD closed till Monday... First of many....
pete22600 Posted September 10, 2008 Report Posted September 10, 2008 coop OK its a new day and can you let me know what the percentage of the chance it will turn north close to use is now in you mind
Guest WeedBegone Posted September 10, 2008 Report Posted September 10, 2008 coop OK its a new day and can you let me know what the percentage of the chance it will turn north close to use is now in you mind Coop stays up to Hoot with the OWLS so it will be a while before he soars with the EAGLES.
Gasilla Posted September 10, 2008 Report Posted September 10, 2008 From what I'm understanding. The model represents where it will hit going it's current speed (8 mph). Speed up and it will go further South, slow down and it will go further North. I think they are beginning to get a better idea what it's going to do.
WOSHIGHc/o2001 Posted September 10, 2008 Report Posted September 10, 2008 Yeah Monday evening it was at 14 then Monday night at 13 now we are down to 8. Yeah its slowing down. Its not looking to good for the Golden Triangle.
KFDM COOP Posted September 10, 2008 Author Report Posted September 10, 2008 We'll just have to keep watching, Thursday Morning we'll know where the turn will take place.
bullets13 Posted September 10, 2008 Report Posted September 10, 2008 We'll just have to keep watching, Thursday Morning we'll know where the turn will take place. we're about to get screwed if this thing turns. very little time to evacuate.
WOSHIGHc/o2001 Posted September 10, 2008 Report Posted September 10, 2008 So if its not until Wednesday, when do ya'll think we will hear any word on evacuations??
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