HoopInsider_Cooper Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Only 1 storm of the last 50 that were very similar in Ike track) have hit Texas. And that was in 1852 (Brownsville). This sucks!!!! Come on Ike, don't make me call Michael Myers!!!!
PURPLE 4EVER Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 I hope none of you don't own a waterfront beach house around Matagorda Bay....
Guest joey Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Do you really think it will hit Galveston? Don't we have a high coming down here? Besides NHC what other sites can I go to for 'tracking maps?' Thanks
KFDM COOP Posted September 8, 2008 Author Report Posted September 8, 2008 This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up
Mc Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Going to be close! NOOOO!! Don't agree with me COOP. My post was intended to be loaded with sarcasm. With more of a southward forecast, that means all those South TX/Houston hillbillies are going to cram our evacuation routes again. You know someone is going to hit the recurve button again as soon as their evacuation begins, as with Rita. >
hockeyfan Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Besides NHC what other sites can I go to for 'tracking maps?' Thanks This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up
BLUEDOVE3 Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Hmm? So if Ike hits west of Galveston, and we're xxx amount of miles from Galveston, maybe we won't need the evacuation.
HoopInsider_Cooper Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Too close 'Dove...Some are expecting a north (right) turn before landfall. Don't get caught with your...Well, you know. ;D
Quacker37 Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 do we have any idea when they will publicize any evacuation orders?
HoopInsider_Cooper Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 As of now 4pm Monday, no evacs for SETX have been ordered! IF they are called, Wednesday special needs and Thursday mandatory (Jefferson County).
BLUEDOVE3 Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Hmm, so I guess I will cancel my hotel at 290 & 610 in Houston.
hockeyfan Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Ike is now a Category 1 Hurricane 000 WTNT34 KNHC 082050 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 500 PM EDT MON SEP 08 2008 ...IKE HUGGING THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA... AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANDROS AND RAGGED ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA... HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS AND GRANMA...CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA....VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN. INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...70 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CIENFUEGOS CUBA AND ABOUT 215 MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...BUT A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA TONIGHT...MOVE OVER WESTERN CUBA TUESDAY...AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY TUESDAY NIGHT. DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN INTENSITY IS POSSIBLE IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE IKE MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS EAST OF IKE ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE WAVES COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...21.4 N...79.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up
RonBurgundy68 Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 I still don't have a good feeling about this, at all... Haven't since it got close to Florida...
RonBurgundy68 Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 How bad would it be for us if it took that track right there?
KFDM COOP Posted September 8, 2008 Author Report Posted September 8, 2008 Little farther south!!!! 8)
Bobcatfan4life Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up
Bobcatfan4life Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 I'd rather a lot of rain than 100+ MPH winds.....
ndnsrock44 Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Coop. What do you think of the US Navy weather site? I heard they where usually right on the money with their forecasts and usually closer than most models. Here is their projection. This is the hidden content, please Sign In or Sign Up
HoopInsider_Cooper Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Need to see that track near Corpus or south of there tomorrow.
KFDM COOP Posted September 8, 2008 Author Report Posted September 8, 2008 It's all going to be a timing deal. If Trough moves fast through the Plains then it turns north. If Not then it should be to our south.
skipper Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 just keep pushing it south that will chang alot of things dont you think
RonBurgundy68 Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 It's all going to be a timing deal. If Trough moves fast through the Plains then it turns north. If Not then it should be to our south. What are the percentages of the trough moving fast?
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