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4A REGION III POSSIBLE PLAYOFF TEAMS


raid07

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Looks like more than a couple of teams in the post season will have losing records.

District 17

Buda Hays Consolidated 5-3-0 3-0-0

Del Valle 3-5-0 2-1-0

Manor 3-5-0 2-1-0

Elgin 5-3-0 1-2-0

Lockhart 5-3-0 1-2-0

District 18

Huntsville 5-1-0 5-0-0

Brenham 4-3-0 4-1-0 00

Willis 5-2-0 3-2-0

Magnolia 4-3-0 3-2-0

Montgomery 3-3-0 2-3-0

Waller 3-5-0 2-3-0

District 19

Dayton 6-1-0 5-0-0

Houston C.E. King 5-1-0 4-0-0

Crosby 4-3-0 4-1-0

North Forest 4-3-0 2-3-0

Galena Park 3-4-0 2-3-0

Mont Belvieu Barbers Hill 2-5-0 2-3-0

District 20

Lumberton 6-1-0 4-1-0

Beaumont Central 5-2-0 4-1-0

Livingston 4-2-0 4-1-0

Vidor 5-2-0 3-2-0

Nederland 3-3-0 3-2-0

District 21

Houston Davis 7-0-0 5-0-0

Houston Westbury 5-2-0 4-0-0

Houston Sharpstown 4-4-0 3-2-0

Houston Austin 2-4-0 2-2-0

Houston Waltrip 2-4-0 1-3-0

District 22

Houston Furr 4-3-0 4-1-0

Houston Jones 4-3-0 4-1-0

Houston Worthing 4-3-0 4-1-0

Houston Kashmere 2-4-0 2-3-0

Houston Sterling 2-4-0 2-3-0

Houston Wheatley 2-4-0 2-3-0

Houston Washington 2-5-0 2-3-0

District 23

Rosenberg Lamar Consolidated 3-2-0 2-0-0 000

El Campo 5-1-0 1-1-0

Rosenberg Terry 3-2-0 1-1-0

Bay City 3-4-0 1-2-0

Richmond Foster 2-5-0 1-2-0

District 24

Friendswood 5-1-0 4-1-0

Angleton 5-3-0 4-1-0

Freeport Brazosport 4-3-0 3-2-0

La Marque 3-4-0 3-2-0

Texas City 4-3-0 2-3-0

Pearland Dawson 3-3-0 2-3-0

Alvin Manvel 2-5-0 2-3-0

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I hope this helps:

District 17-4A

'08 PREDICTION

1. Buda Hays

2. Manor

3. Del Valle

4. Elgin  CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Buda Hays

2. Manor

3. Del Valle

t-4. Elgin

t-4. Lockhart (5)  PLAYOFF PREDICTION

1. Buda Hays

2. Lockhart (5)

3. Elgin

4. Manor 

NOTES: This is actually one of the trickier districts to plot out, since aside from Buda Hays and Kyle Lehman, everyone seems capable of beating each other on any given day. Buda Hays, with Lehman and Del Valle left on the schedule, will win out and earn a district title for coach Bob Shelton in his 41st season at the school. It looks like both Elgin and Lockhart will win out as well, which would move both of them into the playoffs; the last spot would probably fall to Manor, unless Del Valle somehow manages a win against either Buda Hays or Elgin, which doesn't seem likely.

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District 18-4A

'08 PREDICTION

1. Brenham

2. Huntsville

3. Waller

4. Conroe Caney Creek  CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Huntsville

2. Brenham

t-3. Willis (7)

t-3. Magnolia (5)  PLAYOFF PREDICTION

1. Huntsville

2. Magnolia (5)

3. Brenham

4. Montgomery (6) 

NOTES: This district was one that had its season interrupted by Hurricane Ike, so the overall records and point totals look a little skewed for a playoff race. Still, everything aside from the district title race is wide open -- Huntsville, with Magnolia West and Willis left on the slate -- looks like a sure-fire bet to take home the 18-4A trophy. Magnolia will be favored to beat both Brenham in Week 9 and Magnolia West in Week 10, and the 5-2 district record those wins would garner would be good enough for the second DI seed. Montgomery and Brenham should both go 1-1 over the next two weeks, but Willis and Waller don't look like they have the 2-0 finishes necessary to put either of those two teams in jeopardy. That has to be frustrating for Willis -- if it wins this weekend against Montgomery, it's in ... I just don't think it has the gas in the tank.

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District 19-4A

'08 PREDICTION

1. Dayton

2. Crosby

3. Houston King

4. North Forest  CURRENT STANDINGS

t-1. Dayton

t-1. Houston King

3. Crosby

t-4. North Forest

t-4. Galena Park (6)

t-4. Barbers Hill (5)  PLAYOFF PREDICTION

1. Dayton

t-2. Houston King

t-2. Crosby

4. North Forest 

NOTES: There's almost no point in predicting how this district will shake out, considering so much can happen here in the last two weeks of the season. Interestingly, the underdogs in all of the important 19-4A games are at home this weekend -- King will host Dayton with district title hopes on the line (I like Dayton), Crosby (which has already clinched) must travel to Galena Park (which hasn't) and Barbers Hill welcomes North Forest to town. Unfortunately for them, I don't think it matters -- I have all three of those teams losing and Dayton, King, Crosby and North Forest filling out the playoff platter.

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District 20-4A

'08 PREDICTION

1. Nederland

2. Livingston

3. Port Neches-Groves

4. Lumberton  CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Lumberton

2. Beaumont Central (5)

3. Livingston

t-4. Vidor (7)

t-4. Nederland  PLAYOFF PREDICTION

1. Beaumont Central (5)

2. Lumberton

3. Livingston

4. Vidor (7) 

NOTES: This is another district with numerous possible outcomes, but even more importantly, outside of woeful Little Cypress-Mauriceville, all these teams seem like dead-even favorites; as a matter of fact, I went with almost all home teams in both Weeks 9 and 10, as that will probably be the biggest deciding factor in these one-point spread affairs. I think Beaumont Central will win out and both Lumberton and Livingston will lose a game, giving the Jaguars the 20-4A crown and the top DI seeding. The fourth and final spot should fall to Vidor, who, like Nederland, will probably finish 4-3 in district, then beat out the Bulldogs via a head-to-head victory this weekend.

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District 21-4A

'08 PREDICTION

1. Houston Yates

2. Houston Sharpstown

3. Houston Westbury

4. Houston Davis  CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Houston Davis

2. Houston Westbury

3. Houston Sharpstown

4. Houston Austin (6)  PLAYOFF PREDICTION

1. Houston Westbury

2. Houston Davis

3. Houston Sharpstown

4. Houston Austin (6) 

NOTES: With Reagan and Yates (Yates? Really?) essentially out of it and offensively challenged Waltrip hanging by a razor-thin thread, this district looks like a four-horse race. Sharpstown's only game remaining is against cellar-dweller Reagan, so that win should leave it at 4-2 and in the playoffs for the second year in a row. An Austin win over Waltrip this weekend would eliminate the Rams and clinch a playoff spot for the Mustangs, but unless it could beat Westbury the following week -- not likely -- it would remain in the second seed spot for DI. As for the district title, that's probably riding on this week's game between Davis and Westbury, a game the Rebels are favored in because of their home-field advantage.

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District 22-4A

'08 PREDICTION

1. Houston Washington

2. Houston Wheatley

3. Houston Furr

4. Houston Jones  CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Houston Jones

t-2. Houston Furr

t-2. Houston Worthing (7)

t-4. Houston Wheatley

t-4. Houston Kashmere (6)

t-4. Houston Washington  PLAYOFF PREDICTION

1. Houston Jones

2. Houston Furr

3. Houston Worthing (7)

4. Houston Washington 

NOTES: Like 20-4A, a good chunk of these teams are evenly matched, so it's tough to say with any certainty who is going to pull out the big wins down the stretch, but no game was tougher to decide on than Jones at Houston Worthing in Week 10; that may seem like a gimme considering the preseason standings, but the Colts have proven themselves to be tough opponents, and if Jones were to lose that game, it would potentially create a three-way tie between the Falcons, Worthing and Furr for first place. Luckily, I think Jones will win, which provides us with a much neater 1-2-3 scenario. Even though Washington will probably go 1-1 in Weeks 9 and 10, I don't think Wheatley or Kashmere can go 2-0, which is what it would take to pass the War Eagles.

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District 23-4A

'08 PREDICTION

1. Lamar Consolidated

2. Richmond Foster

3. El Campo

4. Rosenberg Terry  CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Lamar Consolidated

t-2. El Campo

t-2. Rosenberg Terry

t-4. Bay City (5)

t-4. Richmond Foster  PLAYOFF PREDICTION

1. Lamar Consolidated

2. Rosenberg Terry

3. El Campo

4. Richmond Foster 

NOTES: With just five teams in this district -- and two of them (Bay City and Foster) having just one district game left to play -- this might be the easiest predicting I've done in years! To simplify things, Bay City probably won't beat El Campo this week, which would essentially eliminate it from postseason play. Though Foster likely won't top Terry in Week 10, its 1-3 district record would be good enough to force a tiebreak – one it would win with Bay City. Lamar Consolidated should win out, which would give it the district title that looked so impossible five weeks ago, while El Campo and Terry should both finish at 2-2, with Terry's 21-14 victory in Week 7 serving as the tiebreak that would give the Rangers the top DII seed.

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District -4A

'08 PREDICTION

1. Texas City

2. La Marque

3. Friendswood

4. Angleton  CURRENT STANDINGS

t-1. Friendswood

t-1. Angleton

t-3. Freeport Brazosport (5)

t-3. La Marque  PLAYOFF PREDICTION

1. Angleton

2. Friendswood

3. Texas City

4. La Marque 

NOTES: As tempting as it is to try and justify putting Brazosport, Pearland Dawson or Manvel into the playoffs, I just can't see a way that would happen. Angleton, with Santa Fe and Manvel remaining, should win out and capture the district crown. Friendswood will finish 6-1 in district as well, but the Mustangs' loss to Angleton earlier in the season will give it the second DI seed. The somewhat under-achieving Texas City squad should beat both Dawson and Brazosport, which would put it at 4-3 and into the top DII slot. La Marque, of all teams, is the wild card -- if it loses to Manvel this week (which is possible), and all the other cards falls just so, we could have a four-way tie for the final spot between Brazosport, La Marque, Manvel and Dawson. Wouldn't that be a mess ... but I think the Cougars win out, which would put them into the fourth and final playoff bid from 24-4A.

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