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Posted

Based on the many scenarios that I checked out no team has yet to clinch a playoff spot with 3 teams eliminated.  I came up with 256 different scenarios with some resulting in 4 ways ties for 2nd and many 3 way ties for 3rd.

Central:  29% chance of district champs - 2% chance of elimination**requires loss to PNG

Livingston:  23% chance of district champs - 9% chance of elimination

Lumberton:  41% chance of district champs - 9% chance of eliminations**requires loss to LCM

Nederland:  3% chance of district co-champs - 38% chance of elimination

Vidor:  13% chance of district co-champs - 27% chance of elimination

Note that where I could compare head-to-head wins or point leader on 3 way ties and determine top seed (regardless of Div I or II), I called only one team champ.  Bragging rights.  Like Dayton last season.

Posted

Chewca, so now we all know who came up with the BCS rankings - it was you and your number crunching!

Good work - I was getting confused just reading the Enterprise article today about the potential 20-4A playoff teams.

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