***Ernesto Track***

[KFDM COOP]

Stay tuned for the latest on Strengthing Ernesto

[WOS95]

coop, should we start to worry or is it to early?

[KFDM COOP]

To early..

[Guest Diva]

Are we gonna' have any high pressure building in our area next week to be our security blanket?

[KFDM COOP]

Very weak high the way it looks..

[Guest Diva]

"Weak" is not the word I wanna' hear when you're talking about the high! :roll:

[KFDM COOP]

About 4 days to early to say!!

[travelingcard]

It's not Ernesto yet... Premature coop

[KFDM COOP]

I know, but you guys help keep this thing away so we'll have a football season.. :twisted:

[travelingcard]

AMEN! That'd just SUCK to cancel Week 0!!!!!!!!!!!

[KFDM COOP]

Usually what happens come week 0, it rains are a hurricane.. :twisted:

[KFDM COOP]

Keep your fingers crossed but some new data late Thursday night has is moving toward the Florida Panhandle.

[Guest Diva]

I sure as heck don't want it here but I certainly don't wish it on NOLA either! Not good!

[Castor27]

I really like to look at http://www.wunderground.com . I use this and several other resources with my 5th grade Science students on weather (which we are actually covering now). But I have a question for you, COOP. A friend and I were having a discussion about the models that weather underground shows. He says that there are some more trusted than others. Is this the case? He started showing me some of the historical models that each had run and it seemed that a couple of them were closer than the others more often than not. Are there any particular models that you trust more than others? Are some models more accurate at certain types of forecasts (i.e. long range) while others are better at a different type of forecast (short range)? Just something I have been thinking about and wanted to see if I could get an expert opinion on it.

[Guest Diva]

From the latest discussion...

...THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ERNESTO COULD BE MUCH STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.

What? First it was gonna' tank, now it's gonna' be a bad 'cane. Please explain O Wise One! :wink:

[KFDM COOP]

We should know for sure by Sunday and Monday on strength and track.

[Guest Diva]

I HATE waiting!!!!

[travelingcard]

Latest Model Map (as of 10:30PM Friday) - Not Self Updating

[KFDM COOP]

Thanks..Let's all pray we don't get hit..

[PNG Proud]

The black triangle gets my vote!

[Bobcatfan4life]

From www.weather.com:

Tropical Storm Ernesto continues to slowly strengthen as of late Friday evening and The National Hurricane Center has now posted tropical storm warnings for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti. A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the island of Jamaica.

Satellite imagery continues to suggest strengthening of the system. Ernesto is moving west-northwest and this general motion is expected to continue through the weekend. There is still some uncertainty with the exact track and intensity of the storm. Currently an upper low out ahead of the storm is creating strong westerly shear in its future path, which would create unfavorable conditions to support the system. However, current forecast information indicates that these unfavorable conditions will lessen in time, leading to further development.

While the bulk of the heavier squalls will remain south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, a few outer bands will generate some heavier downpours and gusty conditions in these areas through Saturday. By Sunday, heavy squalls and gusty winds will begin to impact parts of Hispaniola and Jamaica. Ernesto may begin to threaten the Gulf of Mexico by early next week. For now, interests along the Gulf Coast states should simply monitor and be aware of the system. Stay tuned to The Weather Cannel's Hurricane Central for the latest updates.

[Guest emonarch777]

I say after what Nagin said The grey square gets my vote.

[SETXsports Broadcaster]

if this thing comes up into la again, I will be pissed....you hear? So Coop get all your go away dances going and move this thing on out

[Guest Diva]

if this thing comes up into la again' date=' I will be pissed....you hear? So Coop get all your go away dances going and move this thing on out [/quote']

Yeah...what he said! Please, Mr. Cooper, please make it stop!!!!

[KFDM COOP]

Hopefully it will turn east before it gets to us, that is possible.