Hurricane chief: Ike Dike feasible

[KFDM COOP]

http://www.beaumontenterprise.com/news/local/QA_Hurricane_chief_on.html

[tvc184]

[quote][b][size=10pt]Q: When it comes to hurricane track forecasting, I'm always asked what computer model to trust. What do you say?

A: Actually, the real answer is that the model [color=red]I would trust is the final product put out by the hurricane center specialists.[/color] Because that will take into account, on any given run, their assessment of whether there was an initialization problem with one or more of the models that might be put into that. Trying to, on your own from your couch at home, unless you're trained in model analysis, trying to guess which one of the models on the so-called “spaghetti plot” at best is folly. These guys are trained to do that.[/[/size]b][/quote]



Why? They have no more than an educated guess which is usually wrong.