EURO IFFY on the new run, but still something to watch

[Guest baseball25]

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/animate/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!72!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2010062112!!!step/

[Bulldog92]

I saw that, too. The latest run (00Z) has a 950mb hurricane (strong cat 3) bearing down on the LA/MS/AL coastline in 240 hours (10 days). That would be disastrous on its own, but would wreak havoc with the oil slick. It basically runs the hurricane right over that area. Everyone's wondering what happens in that scenario. Unfortunately, that model (along with others that agree with it) suggests that we're gonna find out.

See here: http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/euro/00zeurotropical850mbVortSLP240.gif

[Guest baseball25]

Bulldog I think we will have our first named storm in the next 4 days, and scary thing is it will get in gulf and anything could happen!!!!!

[Bulldog92]

[quote name="baseball25" post="813921" timestamp="1277121498"]
Bulldog I think we will have our first named storm in the next 4 days, and scary thing is it will get in gulf and anything could happen!!!!!
[/quote]

They just labeled it an invest this morning (93L). Some of the models are suggesting a hurricane at Cat 3 intensity by the end of the work week. It's way too early to know where it's really gonna go, so it's not time to freak out. Just keep an eye on it and listen to Kerry and Greg...

[HoopInsider_Cooper]

[font=Courier]Ugly scenario. Gotta hope and pray. This would be a major disaster on its own. Then throw in the oil efforts. Long summer.  :([/font]

[Guest baseball25]

Hey Hoopinsider I talk to you the other night at Delta Downs sat night..........oh, I am not worried, I got a buddy that works at Impact weather in houston and they have some of the best Hurricane Experts in the nation so I look at all the models runs and etc  and website they give me and I get updates atleast 3 times a day so I am in good hands, all I am saying is EURO model has been the best model the last three yrs and it makes it very interesting. Here are some websites you can go to, pretty cool stuff if you like to track storms and etc.
http://hurricanecity.com/
http://www.hurricanetrack.com/
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/
http://flhurricane.com/
http://www.stormpulse.com/
www.crownweather.com/

[NDN4Life]

HoopInsider....Will I see you saturday night?

[HoopInsider_Cooper]

[font=Courier]IDK....probably at Delta Downs! Giddy up![/font]

[KFDM COOP]

Until something actually develops the EURO will not be consistant. Once something does it will do well.

[KFDM COOP]

THE 12Z/22 GFS AND GEFS MEAN ARE CLOSER TO THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN
DEPICTED BY THE 00Z/22 ECENS MEAN OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA DAY 6
THAN THE GEM GLOBAL AND UKMET...WHICH SHOW A MORE AMPLIFIED
POSITIVE PNA PATTERN. SEE NO GOOD REASON TO DEVIATE FROM THE
RELIABLE ECENS THERE...WITH THE TROUGH COMING INTO THE NORTHWEST
NOT A MAJOR POINT OF CONTENTION. [b]COORDINATION WITH TPC ON THE LOW
IN THE GULF THIS PERIOD RESULTED IN A SLIGHTLY FASTER
FORECAST...WITH THE CIRCULATION  (TROPICAL CYCLONE) APPROACHING THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
DAY 7.[/b]

[NDN4Life]

Oh that is great to read

[BUCman]

Yeah no kidding NDN..I'm just about ready to go coach football in Alaska.

[HoopInsider_Cooper]

[font=Courier]LOL....Get your sled ready then....This is going to be ugly (if it pans out).[/font]

[Guest baseball25]

still a long way to go, but the new EURO does show a tropical storm hitting upper texas coast/LA, on the newest run but this will keep showing new landfalls untill something develops, once it develops, I am sure Coop and Greg will know more.

[RonBurgundy68]

When is it projected to be in the Gulf?

[Guest baseball25]

sat or sunday but it has to develop first, this is going to be a very busy season, so we mine as well get use to this, this yr.

[RonBurgundy68]

What do you think are the chances of it coming anywhere near us?

[KFDM COOP]

Sunday/Monday